Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy, Should we be Worried? Hong Kong Government

 Atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy, Should we be Worried? Hong Kong Government 


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Food Safety Focus (237th Issue, Apr 2026) – Article 2

Atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy – Should we be Worried?

Reported by Dr. Ivan CHONG and Dr. Raymond CHEUNG, Veterinary Officers, Veterinary Public Health Section, Centre for Food Safety

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE), widely known as "mad cow disease", triggered a global food safety crisis in the 1990s due to its link to variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease (vCJD) in humans. While decades of coordinated international efforts have led to a remarkable decline in classical BSE cases worldwide, its lesser-known relative, atypical BSE, continues to surface in isolated cases. This article examines the key differences between classical and atypical BSE. By understanding the features of atypical BSE and the available epidemiological evidence, we can assess whether this lesser-known variant warrants public health concern.

Origins and Transmission

Classical BSE emerged in the 1980s as a consequence of recycling ruminant proteins in cattle feed. The practice of supplementing feed with rendered tissues from infected cattle allowed prions (misfolded proteins that cause BSE) to amplify through herds, creating an exponential transmission cycle that affected millions of animals and led to human vCJD cases through consumption of contaminated beef products.

Atypical BSE, first identified in 2003 through enhanced surveillance, presents a different picture. It occurs spontaneously in older cattle, typically aged eight years or more, with no connection to contaminated feed. Although the precise pathogenesis is not yet fully understood, scientists believe that age-related protein misfolding or genetic factors may trigger the condition. Unlike classical BSE, there is to date no evidence of natural field transmission of atypical BSE between animals or to humans, making each case an isolated event.

Food Safety Implications

The food safety risks of classical and atypical BSE differ significantly. Classical BSE posed clear risks, with indications that vCJD could be acquired through the consumption of contaminated beef products. Control measures such as bans on ruminant proteins in cattle feed and removal of tissues with greatest infectivity (e.g. brain and spinal cord) from the food chain were implemented in affected countries to eliminate these risks. According to the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH), the incidence of classical BSE has fallen dramatically and is now negligible, with nearly zero cases per million bovines.

Atypical BSE, on the other hand, has not been linked to vCJD and occurs spontaneously in older cattle at a negligible rate; which, when combined with existing food safety measures such as ante-mortem inspection and health certification systems, makes human exposure highly unlikely. In addition, the same protections that brought classical BSE under control (e.g. feed bans and removal of tissues with greatest infectivity) can also prevent atypical BSE prions from entering the human food chain. After nearly two decades of global monitoring, no human cases have been linked to atypical BSE, though researchers continue to study its theoretical risks

Figure: Map of BSE Official Status by WOAH (As of June 2025)

Regulatory Response

WOAH mandates distinct responses to classical and atypical BSE, reflecting their differing risks to animal and human health. Classical BSE, as a WOAH-listed disease, triggers international reporting obligations and strict containment measures. When a classical BSE case is detected, the affected country must notify WOAH, conduct trace-back investigations, impose quarantines on exposed herds and review feed ban compliance. WOAH officially recognises a country’s BSE risk status, from the lowest risk level “negligible”, to “controlled” and the rest as “undetermined”, after evaluating its history with classical BSE, implementation of the feed ban and disease surveillance, with trade guidelines aligned to each risk status. In Hong Kong, beef should be imported from countries or areas that meet public health requirements corresponding to the WOAH official BSE risk status.

In contrast, atypical BSE has been delisted by WOAH as a notifiable disease since 2023, due to its rare and sporadic nature and the finding that it has no significant impact on animal or public health. Detection of an atypical BSE case does not require emergency reporting or trade disruptions. However, as a precautionary measure, WOAH requires members to provide evidence that any bovines detected with atypical BSE have been completely destroyed or disposed of to ensure they do not enter the feed or food chain. As atypical BSE occurs spontaneously at a low rate in all cattle populations, its detection would not impact a country’s WOAH risk status.

Conclusion

Unlike classical BSE, atypical BSE is not known to spread naturally between animals or through feed, occurring only as rare, isolated cases in older cattle. The same protective measures developed in response to classical BSE provide robust protection against this sporadic form of the disease. WOAH’s decision to delist atypical BSE further underscores that it has no significant impact on public health. Decades of global surveillance have confirmed these safeguards work, with no human cases linked to atypical BSE.

Last revision date: 22 Apr 2026


From: TERRY SINGELTARY <flounder9@verizon.net>
Date: April 22, 2026 at 4:06:55 PM CDT
To: ivan_fk_chong@afcd.gov.hk, rtcheung@hkucc.hku.hk
Cc: dfehoffice@fehd.gov.hk, lawkw@fehd.gov.hk, arseneyiu@fehd.gov.hk, cfsoffice@fehd.gov.hk
Subject: Atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy, Should we be Worried? Hong Kong Government

“In contrast, atypical BSE has been delisted by WOAH as a notifiable disease since 2023, due to its rare and sporadic nature and the finding that it has no significant impact on animal or public health. Detection of an atypical BSE case does not require emergency reporting or trade disruptions.”

I don’t know if the Honorable Dr. Ivan CHONG and Dr. Raymond CHEUNG, Veterinary Officers, Veterinary Public Health Section, Centre for Food Safety, are just not up to date with recent science of the atypical strains of Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy TSE atypical BSE and atypical Scrapie, or they are simply trying to go along with the same old science from earlier BSE days 40 years or so ago, and science there from, that most other countries seem to rubber stamp, but regardless, this report on atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy BSE, from Hong Kong Government, Center For Food Safety, Food Safety Focus (237th Issue, Apr 2026) – Article 2, i would kindly like to bring urgent attention to updated science about atypical BSE and atypical Scrapie, that the WHOA WHO et al seem very concerned with, but failed to act… kindest regards, terry

“In contrast, atypical BSE has been delisted by WOAH as a notifiable disease since 2023, due to its rare and sporadic nature and the finding that it has no significant impact on animal or public health. Detection of an atypical BSE case does not require emergency reporting or trade disruptions.”

“According to the World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH), Terrestrial Manual 2021, atypical BSE, caused by H- and L-type BSE agents, is rare and is believed to occur spontaneously in all bovine populations at a very low rate and has only been identified in older cattle.”

My Concerns with atypical BSE as Follows;

***Moreover, sporadic disease has never been observed in breeding colonies or primate research laboratories, most notably among hundreds of animals over several decades of study at the National Institutes of Health25, and in nearly twenty older animals continuously housed in our own facility.***

Even if the prevailing view is that sporadic CJD is due to the spontaneous formation of CJD prions, it remains possible that its apparent sporadic nature may, at least in part, result from our limited capacity to identify an environmental origin.

https://www.nature.com/articles/srep11573

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=361032

Atypical BSE in cattle

THE recent diagnosis of two atypical bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) cases in Great Britain (March 2023 in Cornwall and December 2024 in Dumfries and Galloway) and one in the Republic of Ireland (in November 2023) warrants a reminder about this notifiable disease.

Since 2005, a total of 17 cases have been detected in Great Britain.1 Unlike classical BSE, which resulted in over 180,000 cases in Great Britain and was predominantly associated with the consumption of feed contaminated with the BSE agent, and where the last case was confirmed in Ayrshire in May 2024, atypical BSE is believed to be a spontaneous disease in cattle found in approximately one in 1,000,000 tested cattle based on French data,2 similar to the sporadic Creutzfeldt- Jakob disease in people. There is currently no evidence that atypical BSE causes a disease in people, although it can be transmitted experimentally to other species by intracerebral inoculation, including primates.3–5 The World Organisation for Animal Health does not include atypical BSE in its geographical BSE risk status assessment.

Despite differences in terms of epidemiological, molecular and biological phenotype compared with classical BSE, atypical BSE is currently treated as if it were classical BSE in accordance with EU and UK legislation: once a case is identified, all cohort animals born and reared with the affected animal during the first 12 months of its life, and all offspring born within 24 months of its clinical onset, are culled and tested for BSE, which does seem to be at odds with the hypothesis that it is a spontaneous disease. This is more a precautionary measure to maintain confidence in the beef trade and protect consumers while more knowledge about this disease is obtained.

Almost all current knowledge on atypical BSE is based on experimental infection because this spontaneous

VET RECORD | 29 March–12 April 2025

disease has generally only been found in aged downer cows, which is difficult to replicate experimentally in the host species. Intracerebral inoculation of brain tissue from an affected cow causes disease in cattle in less than two years, unlike the natural disease that usually occurs in animals over eight years of age.

The vast majority of cases have been identified by active monitoring of fallen stock or emergency slaughter of cattle, where only the brain sample of various stages of autolysis is generally available. Little is known of where the atypical BSE agent can be found in natural disease, other than in the brain, because all the cases confirmed have been identified after death through active surveillance, by which time most peripheral tissue has been disposed of. Limited material from a single case of a naturally affected cow was tested in Italy by mouse bioassay, which found infectivity in muscle.6 In experimental disease generated by intracerebral inoculation of cattle, infectivity can be detected in the brain and spinal cord, ganglia, peripheral nerves and skeletal muscles, similar to classical BSE, but not in peripheral lymphoid tissue.6–8

Early reporting of clinical suspects is needed so that the live animal or the whole carcase can be delivered to an APHA regional laboratory for tissue sampling. This is made more difficult due to the subtlety of clinical signs based on experimental disease. Clinical cases may not be as over- reactive or nervous as classical BSE cases; some may, in fact, be dull, but what most cases have in common is that they have difficulty getting up and eventually end up as downer cows, and only the clinical history may reveal some prior behavioural or locomotor changes. High creatinine kinase serum levels and nibbling in response to scratching the tail head or back were some features in experimental disease,8, 9 but it is not known whether this is also seen in natural disease.

In general, BSE should be considered as a differential diagnosis in all downer cows that do not respond to treatment, where the blood results do not support the presence of a metabolic disease and where the cause cannot be determined with confidence.

Since BSE is a notifiable disease, suspected cases of BSE in Great Britain must be reported to the local APHA office.

Changes are imminent in the reporting of fallen stock cattle, which will require the owner to state whether the animal displayed signs of changes in behaviour, sensation or locomotion before death, in addition to the likely cause of death or disease. This is to obtain a better profile of the clinical history, if cattle are retrospectively diagnosed as BSE cases, which has happened in all BSE cases confirmed since 2010: none has been reported as a clinical suspect.

“BSE should be considered as a differential diagnosis in all downer cows that do not respond to treatment”

Timm Konold, TSE lead scientist

Brenda Rajanayagam, workgroup leader for the data systems group

APHA Weybridge, New Haw, Addlestone, Surrey KT15 3NB email: timm.konold@apha.gov.uk

Keith Meldrum, former chief veterinary officer The Orchard, Swaynes Lane, Guildford, Surrey GU1 2XX

References

1 APHA. Cattle: TSE surveillance statistics. Overview of Great Britain statistics. 2025. https://bit.ly/4ho5Nds (accessed 19 March 2025)

Atypical BSE In Cattle

https://bvajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/vetr.5400?campaign=woletoc

Title: Transmission of atypical BSE: a possible origin of Classical BSE in cattle

Authors: Sandor Dudas1, Samuel James Sharpe1, Kristina Santiago-Mateo1, Stefanie Czub1, Waqas Tahir1,2, *

Affiliation: 1National and WOAH reference Laboratory for Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy, Canadian Food inspection Agency, Lethbridge Laboratory, Lethbridge, Canada. 2Department of Biological Sciences, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada.

*Corresponding and Presenting Author: waqas.tahir@inspection.gc.ca

Background: Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) is a fatal neurodegenerative disease of cattle and is categorized into classical and atypical forms. Classical BSE (CBSE) is linked to the consumption of BSE contaminated feed whereas atypical BSE is considered to be spontaneous in origin. The potential for oral transmission of atypical BSE is yet to be clearly defined.

Aims: To assess the oral transmissibility of atypical BSE (H and L type) in cattle. Should transmission be successful, determine the biochemical characteristics and distribution of PrPSc in the challenge cattle.

Material and Methods: For oral transmission, calves were fed with 100 g of either H (n=3) or L BSE (n=3) positive brain material. Two years post challenge, 1 calf from each of the H and L BSE challenge groups exhibited behavioural signs and were euthanized. Various brain regions of both animals were tested by traditional and novel prion detection methods with inconclusive results. To detect infectivity, brain homogenates from these oral challenge animals (P1) were injected intra-cranially (IC) into steer calves. Upon clinical signs of BSE, 3/4 of IC challenged steer calves were euthanized and tested for PrPSc with ELISA, immunohistochemistry and immunoblot.

Results: After 6 years of incubation, 3/4 animals (2/2 steers IC challenged with brain from P1 L-BSE oral challenge and 1/2 steer IC challenged with brain from P1 H-BSE oral challenge) developed clinical disease. Analysis of these animals revealed high levels of PrPSc in their brains, having biochemical properties similar to that of PrPSc in C-BSE.

Conclusion: These results demonstrate the oral transmission potential of atypical BSE in cattle. Surprisingly, regardless of which atypical type of BSE was used for P1 oral challenge, PrPSc in the P2 animals acquired biochemical characteristics similar to that of PrPSc in C-BSE, suggesting atypical BSE as a possible origin of C-BSE in UK.

Presentation Type: Oral Presentation

Funded by: CFIA, Health Canada, Alberta Livestock and Meat Agency, Alberta Prion Research Institute

Grant Number: ALMA/APRI: 201400006, HC 414250

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://web.archive.org/web/20250828201533/https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Syed-Zahid-Shah/publication/378314391_Meeting-book-final-version_prion_2023/links/65d44dad28b7720cecdca95f/Meeting-book-final-version-prion-2023.pdf

OIE Conclusions on transmissibility of atypical BSE among cattle

Given that cattle have been successfully infected by the oral route, at least for L-BSE, it is reasonable to conclude that atypical BSE is potentially capable of being recycled in a cattle population if cattle are exposed to contaminated feed. In addition, based on reports of atypical BSE from several countries that have not had C-BSE, it appears likely that atypical BSE would arise as a spontaneous disease in any country, albeit at a very low incidence in old cattle. In the presence of livestock industry practices that would allow it to be recycled in the cattle feed chain, it is likely that some level of exposure and transmission may occur. As a result, since atypical BSE can be reasonably considered to pose a potential background level of risk for any country with cattle, the recycling of both classical and atypical strains in the cattle and broader ruminant populations should be avoided.

https://www.oie.int/fileadmin/SST/adhocreports/Bovine%20spongiform%20encephalopathy/AN/A_AhG_BSEsurv_RiskAss_Mar2019.pdf

Annex 7 (contd) AHG on BSE risk assessment and surveillance/March 2019

34 Scientific Commission/September 2019

3. Atypical BSE

The Group discussed and endorsed with minor revisions an overview of relevant literature on the risk of atypical BSE being recycled in a cattle population and its zoonotic potential that had been prepared ahead of the meeting by one expert from the Group. This overview is provided as Appendix IV and its main conclusions are outlined below. With regard to the risk of recycling of atypical BSE, recently published research confirmed that the L-type BSE prion (a type of atypical BSE prion) may be orally transmitted to calves1 . In light of this evidence, and the likelihood that atypical BSE could arise as a spontaneous disease in any country, albeit at a very low incidence, the Group was of the opinion that it would be reasonable to conclude that atypical BSE is potentially capable of being recycled in a cattle population if cattle were to be exposed to contaminated feed. Therefore, the recycling of atypical strains in cattle and broader ruminant populations should be avoided.

4. Definitions of meat-and-bone meal (MBM) and greaves

http://web.oie.int/downld/PROC2020/A_SCAD_Sept2019.pdf

The L-type BSE prion is much more virulent in primates and in humanized mice than is the classical BSE prion, which suggests the possibility of zoonotic risk associated with the L-type BSE prion

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/16/7/09-1882_article

Consumption of L-BSE–contaminated feed may pose a risk for oral transmission of the disease agent to cattle.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5324790/

Thus, it is imperative to maintain measures that prevent the entry of tissues from cattle possibly infected with the agent of L-BSE into the food chain.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3310119/

Atypical L-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy (L-BSE) transmission to cynomolgus macaques, a non-human primate

Fumiko Ono 1, Naomi Tase, Asuka Kurosawa, Akio Hiyaoka, Atsushi Ohyama, Yukio Tezuka, Naomi Wada, Yuko Sato, Minoru Tobiume, Ken'ichi Hagiwara, Yoshio Yamakawa, Keiji Terao, Tetsutaro Sata

Affiliations expand

PMID: 21266763

Abstract

A low molecular weight type of atypical bovine spongiform encephalopathy (L-BSE) was transmitted to two cynomolgus macaques by intracerebral inoculation of a brain homogenate of cattle with atypical BSE detected in Japan. They developed neurological signs and symptoms at 19 or 20 months post-inoculation and were euthanized 6 months after the onset of total paralysis. Both the incubation period and duration of the disease were shorter than those for experimental transmission of classical BSE (C-BSE) into macaques. Although the clinical manifestations, such as tremor, myoclonic jerking, and paralysis, were similar to those induced upon C-BSE transmission, no premonitory symptoms, such as hyperekplexia and depression, were evident. Most of the abnormal prion protein (PrP(Sc)) was confined to the tissues of the central nervous system, as determined by immunohistochemistry and Western blotting. The PrP(Sc) glycoform that accumulated in the monkey brain showed a similar profile to that of L-BSE and consistent with that in the cattle brain used as the inoculant. PrP(Sc) staining in the cerebral cortex showed a diffuse synaptic pattern by immunohistochemistry, whereas it accumulated as fine and coarse granules and/or small plaques in the cerebellar cortex and brain stem. Severe spongiosis spread widely in the cerebral cortex, whereas florid plaques, a hallmark of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in humans, were observed in macaques inoculated with C-BSE but not in those inoculated with L-BSE.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21266763/

see full text;

https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/images/JJID/64/81.pdf

''H-TYPE BSE AGENT IS TRANSMISSIBLE BY THE ORONASAL ROUTE''

This study demonstrates that the H-type BSE agent is transmissible by the oronasal route. These results reinforce the need for ongoing surveillance for classical and atypical BSE to minimize the risk of potentially infectious tissues entering the animal or human food chains.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=353094

'Spontaneous mutation'

***Moreover, sporadic disease has never been observed in breeding colonies or primate research laboratories, most notably among hundreds of animals over several decades of study at the National Institutes of Health25, and in nearly twenty older animals continuously housed in our own facility.***

Even if the prevailing view is that sporadic CJD is due to the spontaneous formation of CJD prions, it remains possible that its apparent sporadic nature may, at least in part, result from our limited capacity to identify an environmental origin.

https://www.nature.com/articles/srep11573

US Report, Scrapie, CWD, Cattle, Sheep, Pigs, Cervid, Humans, Zoonotic, 2026

*** Grant Agreement number: 222887 ***

*** Project acronym: PRIORITY ***

*** Project title: Protecting the food chain from prions: shaping European priorities through basic and applied research Funding ***

Scheme: Large-scale integrating project Period covered: from Oct. 1, 2009 to Sept. 30, 2014

Name of the scientific representative of the project's co-ordinator1, Title and Organisation: Jesús R. Requena, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of medicine, University of Santiago de Compostela, Spàin. Tel: 34-881815464 Fax: 34-881815403 E-mail: jesus.requena@usc.es

Project website¡ Error! Marcador no definido. address: www.prionpriority.eu

PRIORITY, PROJECT FINAL REPORT

*** 14) Concluding that atypical scrapie can transmit to Humans and that its strain properties change as it transmits between species ***

snip...

http://cordis.europa.eu/docs/results/222/222887/final1-priority-final-report.pdf

see;

https://nor-98.blogspot.com/2016/09/goat-k222-prpc-polymorphic-variant-does.html

Block D: Prion epidemiology

Studies on atypical scrapie were identified as a key element of this block, given the potential risk associated to this agent. We studied the permeability of Human, bovine and porcine species barriers to atypical scrapie agent transmission. Experiments in transgenic mice expressing bovine, porcine or human PrPC suggest that this TSE agent has the intrinsic ability to propagate across these species barriers including the Human one. Upon species barrier passage the biological properties and phenotype of atypical scrapie seem to be altered. Further experiments are currently ongoing (in the framework of this project but also in other projects) in order to: (i) characterize the properties of the prion that emerged from the propagation of atypical scrapie in tg Hu; (ii) to confirm that the phenomena we observed are also true for atypical scrapie isolates other than the ones we have studied.

In parallel, studies in sheep have concluded that:

*** Atypical scrapie can be transmitted by both oral and intracerebral route in sheep with various PRP genotypes

*** Low but consistent amount of infectivity accumulates in peripheral tissue (mammary gland, lymph nodes, placenta, skeletal muscles, nerves) of sheep incubating atypical scrapie.

*** The combination of data from all our studies leads us to conclude that:

*** Atypical scrapie passage through species barriers can lead to the emergence of various prions including classical BSE (following propagation in porcine PRP transgenic mice).

*** Atypical scrapie can propagate, with a low efficacy, in human PrP expressing mice. This suggests the existence of a zoonotic potential for this TSE agent.

snip...

We advance our main conclusions and recommendations, in particular as they might affect public policy, including a detailed elaboration of the evidence that led to them. Our main recommendations are:

a. The issue of re-introducing ruminant protein into the food-chain The opinion of the members of Priority is that sustaining an absolute feed ban for ruminant protein to ruminants is the essential requirement, especially since the impact of non-classical forms of scrapie in sheep and goats is not fully understood and cannot be fully estimated. Therefore, the consortium strongly recommends prohibiting re-introduction of processed ruminant protein into the food-chain. Arguments in support of this opinion are:

• the large (and still uncharacterized) diversity of prion agents that circulate in animal populations;

• the uncertainties related to prion epidemiology in animal populations;

• the unknown efficacy of industrial processes applied to reduce microbiological risk during processed animal protein (PAP) production on most prion agents; • the intrinsic capacity of prions to cross interspecies transmission barriers; • the lack of sensitive methodology for identifying cross contamination in food.

• the evolution of natural food chains in nature (i.e. who eats whom or what) has generated an efficient barrier preventing, to some extent, novel prion epidemies and that this naturally evolved ecology should be respected.

The consortium is also hesitant to introduce processed ruminant proteins into fish food considering the paucity of data on prion infections in fishes and sea animals including those of mammalian origin, and the risk of establishing an environmental contamination of the oceans that cannot be controlled.

b. Atypical prion agents and surveillance

Atypical prion agents (see below) will probably continue to represent the dominant form of prion diseases in the near future, particularly in Europe.

*** Atypical L-type BSE has clear zoonotic potential, as demonstrated in experimental models.

*** Similarly, there are now some data that seem to indicate that the atypical scrapie agent can cross various species barriers.

*** Moreover, the current EU policy for eradicating scrapie (genetic selection in affected flocks) is ineffective for preventing atypical scrapie.

*** The recent identification of cell-to-cell propagation and the protein-encoded strain properties of human neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease, suggest that they bear the potential to be transmissible even if not with the same efficiency as CJD. More epidemiological data from large cohorts are necessary to reach any conclusion on the impact of their transmissibility on public health. Re-evaluations of safety precautions may become necessary depending on the outcome of these studies. In that context it would appear valuable

• to develop knowledge related to the pathogenesis and inter-individual transmission of atypical prion agents in ruminants (both intra- and inter-species)

• to improve the sensitivity of detection assays that are applied in the field towards this type of agent

• to maintain a robust surveillance of both animal and human populations

c. The need for extended research on prions

Intensified searching for a molecular determinants of the species barrier is recommended, since this barrier is a key for many important policy areas - risk assessment, proportional policies, the need for screening of human products and food. In this respect, prion strain structural language also remains an important issue for public health for the foreseeable future. Understanding the structural basis for strains and the basis for adaptation of a strain to a new host will require continued fundamental research. Prions maintain a complex two-way relationship with the host cell and fundamental research is needed on mechanisms for their transmission, replication and cause of nervous system dysfunction and death.

Early detection of prion infection, ideally at preclinical stage, also remains crucial for development of effective treatment strategies in humans affected by the disease.

Position of the Priority consortium

Nearly 30 years ago, the appearance in the UK of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) quickly brought the previously obscure “prion diseases” to the spotlight. The ensuing health and food crises that spread throughout Europe had devastating consequences. In the UK alone, there were more than 36,000 farms directly affected by BSE and the transmission of BSE prions to humans via the food chain has caused over 200 people in Europe to die from variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) (http://www.cjd.ed.ac.uk

Origins of prion epidemies

Classical BSE now appears to be under control, with 18 EU Member States having achieved the World Organisation for Animal Health (Office International Epizooties) „negligible risk‟ status (May 2014; http://www.oie.int/en/animal-health-in-the-world/official-disease-status/bse/list-of-bse-risk-status/), and the remaining MS assessed as „controlled‟ risk. Of note, research, including EU-funded research, has played a key role in this success: while the origin of the infection was never defined, the principle driver of the epidemic was identified as prions in Meat and Bone Meal (MBM). Tests based on prion protein-specific antibodies were developed, allowing detection of infected animals, and a better understanding of disease pathogenesis and the distribution of infectivity in edible tissues; experimental investigation of transmission barriers between different species allowed a rational estimation of risks, etc. All of this led to the implementation of rational and effective policies, such as the MBM ban to protect the animal feed chain, and the Specified Risk Material (SRM) regulations to protect the human food chain.

In spite of this progress, prions are still a threat. Epidemiological re-assessment indicates that the ∼10 year incubation period separating the peaks of the BSE and the vCJD epidemics is probably too short. In addition, results from a large number of human tonsil and appendix analyses in the UK suggest that there may be a high number of asymptomatic individuals who are positive for the disease-associated conformer prion protein PrPSc. While vCJD is the only form of human prion disease that has been consistently demonstrated to have lymphoreticular involvement, there has been no systematic investigation of lymphoid tissue in cases with other prion diseases.

The human prion problem

The clinical cases of vCJD identified to date have all shared a common PrP genotype (M129M), although one pre-clinical case was confirmed as an M129V heterozygote, and it has been mooted that perhaps only the M129M proportion of the population is susceptible. However, in the UK appendix study, PrP accumulation was described in samples representing every codon 129 genotype, raising the possibility that genotype does not confer resistance but instead modulates incubation period. Apart from the two UK studies, the lymphoid tissues of non-CJD patients have not been examined for the presence of PrPSc, so, these cases may not solely represent pre-clinical vCJD, but also other forms of prion disease.

Recent experiments in highly susceptible mouse models indicate the presence of infectivity in blood or blood components at late disease stages in sporadic CJD. The significance of this experimental finding for humans has to be explored in more detail and, at the present time, there is no evidence for the transmission of prions via blood in sporadic CJD. However a likely scenario is that all those with signs of infection or abnormal PrP accumulation in peripheral tissue could have infective blood, posing the risk for transmission via blood products, which has been clearly demonstrated in experimental models, and confirmed in several cases of vCJD in man. Altogether, these data clearly demonstrate the potential risk of a second wave of vCJD, particularly when the number people identified with lymphoid accumulation of PrPSc (16/32,411) gives a prevalence estimate in the UK of 493 per million, much higher than the number of clinical cases seen to date.

The animal prion problem

An increasing number of reports on cases of “atypical” BSE in cattle throughout the EU and beyond may lead to a new epidemic, particularly since we still do not understand all factors determining the species barrier. Ovine scrapie is another concern, because it could mask ovine BSE, presumably transmissible to humans. Scrapie is endemic and not likely to be eradicated soon, although current control measures are effective at greatly reducing disease incidence. Atypical forms, which may be spontaneous, are not affected by these control measures and these forms of disease will persist in the global animal population. The low prevalence of these disease forms makes effective surveillance very challenging. However, there is a clear risk attendant on ignoring these cases without an understanding of their possible zoonotic potential, particularly when most forms of human disease have no established aetiology. In summary, atypical cases of BSE and scrapie presently clearly outnumber classical cases in cattle and sheep in all member states.

We will highlight the state-of-the-art knowledge and point out scientific challenges and the major questions for research. Strategic objectives and priorities in Europe in the future for research that aims to control, eliminate or eradicate the threat posed by prions to our food and health are also indicated.

The Priority project has focused on 4 themes, namely the structure, function, conversion and toxicity of prions; detection of prions; mechanisms of prion transmission and spreading and epidemiology of prion diseases. This paper summarizes the opinions/positions reached within these themes at the end of the project.

http://cordis.europa.eu/docs/results/222/222887/final1-priority-final-report.pdf

see;

https://nor-98.blogspot.com/2016/09/goat-k222-prpc-polymorphic-variant-does.html

Transmission of scrapie prions to primate after an extended silent incubation period

*** In complement to the recent demonstration that humanized mice are susceptible to scrapie, we report here the first observation of direct transmission of a natural classical scrapie isolate to a macaque after a 10-year incubation period. Neuropathologic examination revealed all of the features of a prion disease: spongiform change, neuronal loss, and accumulation of PrPres throughout the CNS.

*** This observation strengthens the questioning of the harmlessness of scrapie to humans, at a time when protective measures for human and animal health are being dismantled and reduced as c-BSE is considered controlled and being eradicated.

*** Our results underscore the importance of precautionary and protective measures and the necessity for long-term experimental transmission studies to assess the zoonotic potential of other animal prion strains.

http://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publications.htm?SEQ_NO_115=313160

O.05: Transmission of prions to primates after extended silent incubation periods: Implications for BSE and scrapie risk assessment in human populations

*** We recently observed the direct transmission of a natural classical scrapie isolate to macaque after a 10-year silent incubation period,

***with features similar to some reported for human cases of sporadic CJD, albeit requiring fourfold long incubation than BSE. Scrapie, as recently evoked in humanized mice (Cassard, 2014),

***is the third potentially zoonotic PD (with BSE and L-type BSE),

***thus questioning the origin of human sporadic cases.

==============

PRION 2015 CONFERENCE

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5019500/

PRION 2016 TOKYO

Saturday, April 23, 2016

SCRAPIE WS-01: Prion diseases in animals and zoonotic potential 2016

Prion. 10:S15-S21. 2016 ISSN: 1933-68961933-690X

WS-01: Prion diseases in animals and zoonotic potential

***Transmission data also revealed that several scrapie prions propagate in HuPrP-Tg mice with efficiency comparable to that of cattle BSE. While the efficiency of transmission at primary passage was low, subsequent passages resulted in a highly virulent prion disease in both Met129 and Val129 mice.

***Transmission of the different scrapie isolates in these mice leads to the emergence of prion strain phenotypes that showed similar characteristics to those displayed by MM1 or VV2 sCJD prion.

***These results demonstrate that scrapie prions have a zoonotic potential and raise new questions about the possible link between animal and human prions.

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/19336896.2016.1163048?journalCode=kprn20

Title: Transmission of scrapie prions to primate after an extended silent incubation period)

*** In complement to the recent demonstration that humanized mice are susceptible to scrapie, we report here the first observation of direct transmission of a natural classical scrapie isolate to a macaque after a 10-year incubation period. Neuropathologic examination revealed all of the features of a prion disease: spongiform change, neuronal loss, and accumulation of PrPres throughout the CNS.

*** This observation strengthens the questioning of the harmlessness of scrapie to humans, at a time when protective measures for human and animal health are being dismantled and reduced as c-BSE is considered controlled and being eradicated.

*** Our results underscore the importance of precautionary and protective measures and the necessity for long-term experimental transmission studies to assess the zoonotic potential of other animal prion strains.

http://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publications.htm?SEQ_NO_115=313160

Comparing the Distribution of Ovine Classical Scrapie and Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease in Italy: Spatial and Temporal Associations (2002-2014)

Ru G1 ., Pocchiari M2 ., Bertolini S. 1, Pite L.1 , Puopolo M.2 , Ladogana A.2 , Perrotta M.G.3 , Meloni D 1 . (1) National reference center for the study and research on animal encephalopathies and comparative neuropathologies (CEA). Experimental Zooprophylactic Institute of Piemonte, Liguria and Valle d'Aosta, Torino, Italy.

(2) Department of Cellular Biology and Neuroscience, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Roma, Italy. (3) Office 3 National center for the fight and emergency against animal diseases. Ministry of Health, Roma, Italy.

Aim: This study aims to investigate potential spatial and temporal associations between Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) in humans (2010-2014) and ovine classical scrapie (CS) (2002- 2006) in Italy, serving as a proxy for exposure.

Materials and Methods: National data from prion disease surveillance in humans (sporadic CJD) and small ruminants (CS) in Italy were utilized. A descriptive geographic analysis was conducted for each disease individually. Subsequently, an ecological study was performed to compare the occurrence of both diseases at the district and regional levels. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR), adjusted for confounders, were calculated for CJD and CS by district and region, respectively, representing the outcome and proxy of exposure. Considering a possible long incubation period of CJD, two study periods were analysed: 2010-2014 for CJD and 2002-2006 for CS. Eight alternative linear regression models were developed using SIR in humans as the dependent variable and SIR in sheep as the independent variable. These models varied in the scale of SIR data (continuous vs. categorical), geographical level (district vs. region), and the potential past exposure of sheep in specific areas to a known source of infection (via a contaminated vaccine).

Results: The analysis of data at the district level revealed no significant association. However, when considering aggregated regional data, all four models consistently indicated a statistically significant positive association, suggesting a higher incidence of the disease in humans as the regional incidence of sheep scrapie increased.

Conclusions: While the results are intriguing, it is important to acknowledge the inherent limitations of ecological studies. Nevertheless, these findings provide valuable evidence to formulate a hypothesis regarding the zoonotic potential of classical scrapie. Further investigations are necessary, employing specific designs such as analytical epidemiology studies, to test this hypothesis effectively.

Funded by: Italian Ministry of Health Grant number: Realizzazione del programma epidemiologico finalizzato a dare evidenza del potenziale zoonotico delle TSE animali diverse dalla BSE. Prot. N. 0018730-17/07/2015-DGSAFCOD_UO-P

''Nevertheless, these findings provide valuable evidence to formulate a hypothesis regarding the zoonotic potential of classical scrapie. Further investigations are necessary, employing specific designs such as analytical epidemiology studies, to test this hypothesis effectively.''

Meeting-book-final-version prion 2023 Prion 2023 Congress Organizing Committee and the NeuroPrion Association, we invite you to join us for the International Conference Prion2023 from 16-20 October 2023 in Faro, Portugal.

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://web.archive.org/web/20250828201533/https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Syed-Zahid-Shah/publication/378314391_Meeting-book-final-version_prion_2023/links/65d44dad28b7720cecdca95f/Meeting-book-final-version-prion-2023.pdf

Canadian 2021 H-type Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy case associated with a novel E211K polymorphism in prion protein gene novel E211K polymorphism in prion protein gene

Waqas Tahir , Sandor Dudas , Renee Anderson , Jianmin Yang , Sarah Bogart , Kristina Santiago-Mateo, Yuanmu Fang & Roberta Quaghebeur

Pages 36-49 | Received 20 Feb 2025, Accepted 22 May 2025, Published online: 04 Aug 2025 Cite this article https://doi.org/10.1080/19336896.2025.2511933

ABSTRACT

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) is a fatal neurodegenerative disease in cattle which can be either classical BSE (C-BSE) or atypical BSE (including H-BSE and L-BSE). Here, we report the results of our analyses of an H-BSE case found in Canada in 2021, indicating restriction of the pathological agent (PrPSc) mainly to the central nervous system with no or occasional weak involvement of peripheral tissues. Importantly, a non-synonymous mutation at codon 211 of the PRNP gene was detected and confirmed to be present as a germline mutation. This is the first case of BSE in Canada with a predisposing E211K mutation.

Snip…

Based on the results of this study, and the 2006 H-BSE case in the USA, there is an expanded spectrum of aetiologies for bovine prion diseases similar to what is observed in humans, including sporadic, genetic and acquired versions.

Supplemental material Canadian 2021 H-type Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy case associated with a novel E211K polymorphism in prion protein gene

KEYWORDS:

Atypical BSEBovine Spongiform Encephalopathycentral nervous systemE211K mutationprion diseasesprion protein genesynonymous mutation

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/19336896.2025.2511933#d1e1606

“Based on the results of this study, and the 2006 H-BSE case in the USA, there is an expanded spectrum of aetiologies for bovine prion diseases similar to what is observed in humans, including sporadic, genetic and acquired versions.”

MONDAY, JUNE 09, 2025 

The naturally occurring lysine to glutamic acid substitution (E211K in the bovine prion protein) results in short incubation periods for H-type bovine spongioform encephalopathy (BSE) The naturally occurring lysine to glutamic acid substitution (E211K in the bovine prion protein) results in short incubation periods for H-type bovine spongioform encephalopathy (BSE)

Component 6: Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathies (TSEs)

Problem Statement 6A: Determine pathobiology of prion strains.

The naturally occurring lysine to glutamic acid substitution (E211K in the bovine prion protein) results in short incubation periods for H-type bovine spongioform encephalopathy (BSE).

Virus and Prion Research Unit, National Animal Disease Center, Ames, Iowa

Classical BSE (C-BSE) is a prion disease of cattle that was responsible for the "mad cow disease" epizootic in Europe in the 1980s. C-BSE was determined to cause the human prion disease vCJD. Since then, atypical spontaneous strains of BSE were identified. H-BSE is one of those strains. Much research has explored the origins of C-BSE, and strain emergence from atypical H-BSE is one hypothesis. An H-BSE case was determined to have a germline mutation, an E211K substitution in the prion protein gene, which is analogous to a hereditary human prion disease. ARS scientists in Ames, Iowa reported the transmission of H-BSE from cattle, with and without the germline prion protein amino acid substitution, to cattle with various prion genotypes: EE211 (wild-type), EK211, and KK211. Results indicated a significantly shorter incubation period in K containing cattle compared to prion wild-type cattle. The scientists also explored the possibility that the C-BSE strain might have occurred after serial passages of EK211 and KK211 containing H-BSE in cattle, but results did not support this concept. This information is important to prion researchers, veterinary diagnostic laboratories, and those involved with establishing regulatory guidelines.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/ARSUserFiles/np103/AnnualReports/Final%20NP103%20FY2024%20Annual%20Report.updated%205.30.25.pdf

Research Project: Elucidating the Pathobiology and Transmission of Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathies Location: Virus and Prion Research

Title: Cattle with the EK211 PRNP polymorphism are susceptible to the H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy agent from either E211K or wild type donors after oronasal inoculation

Author item Greenlee, Justin item Cassmann, Eric item MOORE, SARA JO - Oak Ridge Institute For Science And Education (ORISE) item WEST GREENLEE, HEATHER - Iowa State University

Submitted to: Meeting Abstract Publication Type: Abstract Only Publication Acceptance Date: 6/24/2022 Publication Date: 9/16/2022 Citation: Greenlee, J.J., Cassmann, E.D., Moore, S., West Greenlee, H.M. 2022.

Cattle with the EK211 PRNP polymorphism are susceptible to the H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy agent from either E211K or wild type donors after oronasal inoculation.

Prion 2022 Conference abstracts: pushing the boundaries. 16(1):150. https://doi.org/10.1080/19336896.2022.2091286.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19336896.2022.2091286

Interpretive Summary:

Technical Abstract: In 2006, a case of H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy (H-BSE) was reported in a cow with a previously unreported prion protein polymorphism (E211K). The E211K polymorphism is heritable and homologous to the E200K mutation in humans that is the most frequent PRNP mutation associated with familial Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease. Although the prevalence of the E211K polymorphism is low, cattle carrying the K211 allele develop H-type BSE with a rapid onset after experimental inoculation by the intracranial route. The purpose of this study was to investigate whether the agents of H-type BSE or H-type BSE associated with the E211K polymorphism transmit to wild type cattle or cattle with the K211 allele after oronasal exposure. Wild type (EE211) or heterozygous (EK211) cattle were oronasally inoculated with the H-BSE agent from either the US 2004 case (wild type donor; n=3) or from the US 2006 case with the E211K polymorphism (n=4). Cattle were observed daily throughout the course of the experiment for the development of clinical signs. When signs were noted, animals were euthanized and necropsied. Cattle were confirmed positive for abnormal BSE prions by enzyme immunoassay (EIA; Idexx HerdChek BSE Ag Test), anti-PrP immunohistochemistry (IHC) on brainstem, and microscopic examination for vacuolation. Three-out-of-four (75%) calves with the EK211 genotype developed clinical signs of H-BSE including inattentiveness, loss of body condition, weakness, ataxia, and muscle fasciculations and were euthanized. Two of the positive EK211 steers received H-BSE US 2004 inoculum (Incubation Period (IP): 59.3 and 72.3 months) while the other positive steer received the E211K H-BSE inoculum (IP: 49.7 months). EIA confirmed that abundant misfolded protein (O.D. 2.57-4.0) in the brainstem, and IHC demonstrated PrPSc throughout the brain. All cattle in the EE211 recipient group remain asymptomatic for the duration of the experiment (approximately 7 years post-inoculation).

This study demonstrates that the H-type BSE agent is transmissible by the oronasal route. Cattle with the EK211 genotype are oronasally susceptible to small doses of the H-BSE agent from either EK211 or EE211 (wild type) donors. Wild-type EE211 cattle remained asymptomatic for the duration of the experiment with this small dose (0.1g) of inoculum. These results reinforce the need for ongoing surveillance for classical and atypical BSE to minimize the risk of potentially infectious tissues entering the animal or human food chains.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=395351

Highlights

This study demonstrates that the H-type BSE agent is transmissible by the oronasal route. Cattle with the EK211 genotype are oronasally susceptible to small doses of the H-BSE agent from either EK211 or EE211 (wild type) donors. Wild-type EE211 cattle remained asymptomatic for the duration of the experiment with this small dose (0.1g) of inoculum. These results reinforce the need for ongoing surveillance for classical and atypical BSE to minimize the risk of potentially infectious tissues entering the animal or human food chains.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=395351

Title: A comparison of classical and H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy associated with E211K prion protein polymorphism in wild type and EK211cattle following intracranial inoculation

Author item MOORE, S - Orise Fellow item WEST GREENLEE, M - Iowa State University item Smith, Jodi item Vrentas, Catherine item Nicholson, Eric item Greenlee, Justin

Submitted to: Frontiers in Veterinary Science Publication Type: Peer Reviewed Journal Publication Acceptance Date: 8/30/2016 Publication Date: 9/15/2016 Citation: Moore, S.J., West Greenlee, M.H., Smith, J.D., Vrentas, C.E., Nicholson, E.M., Greenlee, J.J. 2016.

A comparison of classical and H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy associated with E211K prion protein polymorphism in wild type and EK211cattle following intracranial inoculation.

Frontiers in Veterinary Science. 3:78. Interpretive

Summary: Cases of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) or mad cow disease can be subclassified into at least 3 distinct disease forms with the predominate form known as classical BSE and the others collectively referred to as atypical BSE. Atypical BSE can be further subdivided into H-type and L-type cases that are distinct from classical BSE and from each other. Both of the atypical BSE subtypes are believed to occur spontaneously, whereas classical BSE is spread through feeding contaminated meat and bone meal to cattle. Work by other research groups suggests that the stability of the distinguishing features of atypical BSE cases (phenotypical stability) can change to closely resemble classical BSE after experimental passage implicating atypical BSE as a possible origin of classical BSE. Interestingly, one case of H-type BSE in the US was associated with an inherited mutation in the prion protein gene referred to as E211K. The purpose of this work was to compare wild type and cattle with the E211K mutation after experimental inoculation with either classical BSE or H-BSE from the original E211K case. This study demonstrates that the disease features of E211K BSE-H remain stable when transmitted to cattle without the K211 polymorphism. In addition, passage of classical BSE to cattle with the K211 polymorphism results in disease with features consistent with classical BSE and not a switch to atypical BSE-H as a result of the K211 polymorphism. As the origin of classical, feedborne BSE remains unknown and low numbers of atypical BSE are diagnosed each year, parties with interest in the cattle and beef industries and regulatory officials responsible for safe feeding practices of cattle will be interested in this work.

Technical Abstract: In 2006, a case of H-type bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE-H) was diagnosed in a cow that was associated with a heritable polymorphism in the bovine prion protein gene (PRNP) resulting in a lysine for glutamine amino acid substitution at codon 211 (called E211K) of the prion protein. Although the prevalence of this polymorphism is low, cattle carrying the K211 allele may be predisposed to rapid onset of BSE-H when exposed or to the potential development of a genetic BSE. This study was conducted to better understand the relationship between the K211 polymorphism and its effect on BSE phenotype. BSE-H from the US 2006 case was inoculated intracranially (IC) in one PRNP wild type (EE211) calf and one EK211 calf. In addition, one wild type calf and one EK211 calf were inoculated IC with brain homogenate from a US 2003 classical BSE case. All cattle developed clinical disease. The survival times of the E211K BSE-H inoculated EK211 calf (10 months) was shorter than the wild type calf (18 months). This genotype effect was not observed in classical BSE inoculated cattle (both 26 months). Significant changes in retinal function were observed in H-type BSE challenged cattle only. Cattle challenged with the same inoculum showed similar severity and neuroanatomical distribution of vacuolation and disease-associated prion protein deposition in the brain, though differences in neuropathology were observed between E211K BSE-H and classical BSE inoculated animals. Western blot results for brain tissue from challenged animals were consistent with the inoculum strains. This study demonstrates that the phenotype of E211K BSE-H remains stable when transmitted to cattle without the K211 polymorphism, and exhibits a number of features that differ from classical BSE in both wild type and heterozygous EK211 animals.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=326785

THURSDAY, JUNE 5, 2025

World Organisation for Animal Health (WOAH) downgrades UK’s BSE risk rating to negligible, what could go wrong?

https://bovineprp.blogspot.com/2025/06/world-organisation-for-animal-health.html

Title: Transmission of atypical BSE: a possible origin of Classical BSE in cattle

Authors: Sandor Dudas1, Samuel James Sharpe1, Kristina Santiago-Mateo1, Stefanie Czub1, Waqas Tahir1,2, * Affiliation: 1National and WOAH reference Laboratory for Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy, Canadian Food inspection Agency, Lethbridge Laboratory, Lethbridge, Canada. 2Department of Biological Sciences, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada. *Corresponding and Presenting Author: waqas.tahir@inspection.gc.ca

Background: Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) is a fatal neurodegenerative disease of cattle and is categorized into classical and atypical forms. Classical BSE (CBSE) is linked to the consumption of BSE contaminated feed whereas atypical BSE is considered to be spontaneous in origin. The potential for oral transmission of atypical BSE is yet to be clearly defined.

Aims: To assess the oral transmissibility of atypical BSE (H and L type) in cattle. Should transmission be successful, determine the biochemical characteristics and distribution of PrPSc in the challenge cattle.

Material and Methods: For oral transmission, calves were fed with 100 g of either H (n=3) or L BSE (n=3) positive brain material. Two years post challenge, 1 calf from each of the H and L BSE challenge groups exhibited behavioural signs and were euthanized. Various brain regions of both animals were tested by traditional and novel prion detection methods with inconclusive results. To detect infectivity, brain homogenates from these oral challenge animals (P1) were injected intra-cranially (IC) into steer calves. Upon clinical signs of BSE, 3/4 of IC challenged steer calves were euthanized and tested for PrPSc with ELISA, immunohistochemistry and immunoblot.

Results: After 6 years of incubation, 3/4 animals (2/2 steers IC challenged with brain from P1 L-BSE oral challenge and 1/2 steer IC challenged with brain from P1 H-BSE oral challenge) developed clinical disease. Analysis of these animals revealed high levels of PrPSc in their brains, having biochemical properties similar to that of PrPSc in C-BSE.

Conclusion: These results demonstrate the oral transmission potential of atypical BSE in cattle. Surprisingly, regardless of which atypical type of BSE was used for P1 oral challenge, PrPSc in the P2 animals acquired biochemical characteristics similar to that of PrPSc in C-BSE, suggesting atypical BSE as a possible origin of C-BSE in UK.

Presentation Type: Oral Presentation Funded by: CFIA, Health Canada, Alberta Livestock and Meat Agency, Alberta Prion Research Institute

Grant Number: ALMA/APRI: 201400006, HC 414250

Acknowledgement: TSE unit NCAD, Lethbridge (Jianmin Yang, Sarah Bogart, Rachana Muley, Yuanmu Fang, Keri Colwell, Renee Anderson, John Gray, Rakhi Katoch) (CFIA, Canada), Dr. Catherine Graham (NSDA, Canada), Dr. Michel Levy (UCVM, Canada), Dr. Martin Groschup (FLI, Germany), Dr. Christine Fast (FLI, Germany), Dr. Bob Hills (Health Canada, Canada) Theme: Animal prion diseases

"After 6 years of incubation, 3/4 animals (2/2 steers IC challenged with brain from P1 L-BSE oral challenge and 1/2 steer IC challenged with brain from P1 H-BSE oral challenge) developed clinical disease. Analysis of these animals revealed high levels of PrPSc in their brains, having biochemical properties similar to that of PrPSc in C-BSE. "

=====end

PRION 2023 CONTINUED;

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://web.archive.org/web/20250828201533/https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Syed-Zahid-Shah/publication/378314391_Meeting-book-final-version_prion_2023/links/65d44dad28b7720cecdca95f/Meeting-book-final-version-prion-2023.pdf

Ireland Central Veterinary Research Laboratory confirmed a case of atypical BSE on April 9, 2026 

https://bse-atypical.blogspot.com/2026/04/ireland-central-veterinary-research.html

Chronic Wasting Disease CWD TSE Prion Cervid

cwd transmits by oral routes to, cattle, pigs, sheep, primates

cwd to cattle

Prion Conference 2023

Transmission of the chronic wasting disease agent from elk to cattle after oronasal exposure

Conclusions: Cattle with the E211K polymorphism are susceptible to the CWD agent after oronasal exposure of 0.2 g of infectious material.

Strain characterization of chronic wasting disease in bovine-PrP transgenic mice

Conclusions: Altogether, these results exhibit the diversity of CWD strains present in the panel of CWD isolates and the ability of at least some CWD isolates to infect bovine species. Cattle being one of the most important farming species, this ability represents a potential threat to both animal and human health, and consequently deserves further study.

Prion 2023 Congress Organizing Committee and the NeuroPrion Association, we invite you to join us for the International Conference Prion2023 from 16-20 October 2023 in Faro, Portugal.

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://web.archive.org/web/20250828201533/https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Syed-Zahid-Shah/publication/378314391_Meeting-book-final-version_prion_2023/links/65d44dad28b7720cecdca95f/Meeting-book-final-version-prion-2023.pdf

cwd to pigs

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 28, 2026

Chronic wasting disease prions in cervids and wild pigs in North America Preliminary Outbreak

https://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/mbio.01800-25

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/31/1/24-0401_article

https://transmissiblespongiformencephalopathy.blogspot.com/2026/01/chronic-wasting-disease-prions-in.html

cwd to sheep

Chronic Wasting Disease CWD vs Scrapie TSE Prion

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=410511

Detection of infectivity in orally inoculated pigs using mouse bioassay raises the possibility that naturally exposed pigs could act as a reservoir of CWD infectivity. Currently, swine rations in the U.S. could contain animal derived components including materials from deer or elk. In addition, feral swine could be exposed to infected carcasses in areas where CWD is present in wildlife populations. The current feed ban in the U.S. is based exclusively on keeping tissues from TSE infected cattle from entering animal feeds. These results indicating the susceptibility of pigs to CWD, coupled with the limitations of the current feed ban, indicates that a revision of the feed ban may be necessary to protect swine production and potentially human health.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=353091

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/project/?accnNo=432011&fy=2017

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=337105

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=326166

Research Project: Elucidating the Pathobiology and Transmission of Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathies

Location: Virus and Prion Research

Title: Differentiation of scrapie from chronic wasting disease in white-tailed deer

Accomplishments

1. 01 Determined that white-tailed deer (WTD) infected with scrapie from sheep can transmit the disease to other deer under conditions mimicking natural exposure. It has long been suggested that prion disease in deer (chronic wasting disease (CWD)) was caused by the prion agent from sheep. The prion disease that affects sheep, scrapie, has been recognized for hundreds of years. However, chronic wasting disease, a similar disease found in WTD, has only been recognized since the 1960s. ARS researchers in Ames, Iowa, showed that white-tailed deer sick with scrapie from sheep can infect other deer under conditions mimicking natural exposure. Furthermore, this work shows that CWD is difficult to differentiate from WTD infected with scrapie. WTD scrapie prions accumulate in the lymphoreticular system in a manner similar to CWD, meaning that environmental contamination may occur through feces, saliva, and other body fluids of scrapie affected WTD as has been shown for CWD. The presence of WTD infected with scrapie could confound mitigation efforts for chronic wasting disease. This information informs regulatory officials, the farmed cervid industry, and officials tasked with protecting animal health such as state Departments of Agriculture, Natural Resources, or Parks and Wildlife with regard to a disease similar to CWD but arising from sheep scrapie that could be present in WTD that have contact with scrapie affected sheep and/or goats.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/project/?accnNo=440677&fy=202

Chronic Wasting Disease CWD vs Scrapie TSE Prion

Volume 30, Number 8—August 2024

Research

Scrapie Versus Chronic Wasting Disease in White-Tailed Deer

Zoe J. Lambert1, Jifeng Bian, Eric D. Cassmann, M. Heather West Greenlee, and Justin J. Greenlee

Author affiliations: Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA (Z.J. Lambert); US Department of Agriculture, Ames, Iowa, USA (Z.J. Lambert, J. Bian, E.D. Cassmann, J.J. Greenlee); Iowa State University, Ames (Z.J. Lambert, M.H. West Greenlee) Suggested citation for this article

Abstract

White-tailed deer are susceptible to scrapie (WTD scrapie) after oronasal inoculation with the classical scrapie agent from sheep. Deer affected by WTD scrapie are difficult to differentiate from deer infected with chronic wasting disease (CWD). To assess the transmissibility of the WTD scrapie agent and tissue phenotypes when further passaged in white-tailed deer, we oronasally inoculated wild-type white-tailed deer with WTD scrapie agent. We found that WTD scrapie and CWD agents were generally similar, although some differences were noted. The greatest differences were seen in bioassays of cervidized mice that exhibited significantly longer survival periods when inoculated with WTD scrapie agent than those inoculated with CWD agent. Our findings establish that white-tailed deer are susceptible to WTD scrapie and that the presence of WTD scrapie agent in the lymphoreticular system suggests the handling of suspected cases should be consistent with current CWD guidelines because environmental shedding may occur.

snip…

The potential for zoonoses of cervid-derived PrPSc is still not well understood (6,18,45–47); however, interspecies transmission can increase host range and zoonotic potential (48–50). Therefore, to protect herds and the food supply, suspected cases of WTD scrapie should be handled the same as cases of CWD.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/30/8/24-0007_article

Western blots done on samples from the brainstem, cerebellum, and lymph nodes of scrapie-infected WTD have a molecular profile similar to CWD and distinct from western blots of samples from the cerebral cortex, retina, or the original sheep scrapie inoculum. WTD are susceptible to the agent of scrapie from sheep and differentiation from CWD may be difficult.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=336834

It has long been hypothesized that CWD arose through transmission of sheep scrapie to deer. ARS researchers in Ames, Iowa, conducted research to determine if scrapie derived from sheep could be transmitted to white-tailed deer. The deer inoculated with sheep scrapie developed clinical signs and the abnormal prion protein could be detected in a wide range of tissues. These results indicate that deer may be susceptible to sheep scrapie if exposed to the disease in natural or agricultural settings. In addition, several strong similarities between CWD in white-tailed deer and the experimental cases of scrapie in white-tailed deer suggests that it would be difficult to distinguish scrapie from CWD in deer or identify scrapie if a case occurs. This information should be considered by deer farmers for keeping their herds free from prion diseases.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/ARSUserFiles/np103/AnnualReports/NP103%20FY2023%20Annual%20Report_Final.pdf

Additional studies in WTD established a minimum oral CWD infectious dose equivalent to 100–300 ng CWD-positive brain tissue (10)…

We report that oral exposure to as little as 300 nanograms (ng) of CWD-positive brain or to saliva containing seeding activity equivalent to 300 ng of CWD-positive brain, were sufficient to transmit CWD disease.

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0237410

ORIGIN OF CHRONIC WASTING DISEASE TSE PRION?COLORADO THE ORIGIN OF CHRONIC WASTING DISEASE CWD TSE PRION?

*** Spraker suggested an interesting explanation for the occurrence of CWD. The deer pens at the Foot Hills Campus were built some 30-40 years ago by a Dr. Bob Davis. At or abut that time, allegedly, some scrapie work was conducted at this site. When deer were introduced to the pens they occupied ground that had previously been occupied by sheep.

IN CONFIDENCE, REPORT OF AN UNCONVENTIONAL SLOW VIRUS DISEASE IN ANIMALS IN THE USA 1989

http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20080102193705/http://www.bseinquiry.gov.uk/files/mb/m11b/tab01.pdf

The occurrence of CWD must be viewed against the contest of the locations in which it occurred. It was an incidental and unwelcome complication of the respective wildlife research programmes. Despite its subsequent recognition as a new disease of cervids, therefore justifying direct investigation, no specific research funding was forthcoming. The USDA viewed it as a wildlife problem and consequently not their province!” page 26.

https://web.archive.org/web/20060307063531/http://www.bseinquiry.gov.uk/files/mb/m11b/tab01.pdf

The chronic wasting disease agent from white-tailed deer is highly infectious to humanized mice after passage through raccoons

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=400777

USA Report, Scrapie, CWD, BSE, TSE, Cattle, Sheep, Pigs, Cervid, Humans, Zoonotic, 2026

April 2026



USA FDA PART 589 SUBSTANCES PROHIBITED FROM USE IN ANIMAL FOOD OR FEED, CWD, Scrapie, BSE, Oh My, 2026

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/202/usa-fda-589-feed-broken

https://madcowfeed.blogspot.com/2026/01/usa-fda-part-589-substances-prohibited.html

SATURDAY, APRIL 11, 2026

Chronic Wasting Disease CWD TSE PrP, Cervid, Genetic Manipulation, Unforeseen Circumstances

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2026/04/chronic-wasting-disease-cwd-tse-prp.html

TUESDAY, APRIL 07, 2026

APHIS USDA Captive CWD Herds Update by State March 2026

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2026/04/aphis-usda-captive-cwd-herds-update-by.html

Scrapie, CWD, BSE, CJD, TSE, PrP Update 2026

***> CWD Action Plan National Program 103 Animal Health 2022-2027 UPDATE JANUARY 2026

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/189/action-national-program-animal-health

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2026/01/cwd-action-plan-national-program-103.html

***> SCRAPIE TSE Prion USA RAPID RESPONSE URGENT UPDATES DECEMBER 25, 2025

***> CWD vs Scrapie Urgent Update

https://scrapie-usa.blogspot.com/2025/12/scrapie-tse-prion-usa-rapid-response.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/186/scrapie-prion-response-urgent-updates

***> 2026 USDA EXPLANATORY NOTES, APHIS, CWD, BSE, Scrapie, TSE, Prion

https://transmissiblespongiformencephalopathy.blogspot.com/2025/12/2026-usda-explanatory-notes-aphis-cwd.html

USDA National Scrapie Program History and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy BSE TSE Update 2025 and history there from

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/396084947_USDA_National_Scrapie_Program_History_and_Bovine_Spongiform_Encephalopathy_BSE_TSE0AUpdate_2

TUESDAY, JANUARY 20, 2026

Pathogenesis, Transmission and Detection of Zoonotic Prion Diseases Project Number 5P01AI077774-14 2025

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2026/01/pathogenesis-transmission-and-detection.html

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2025

USDA National Scrapie Program History and Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy BSE TSE Update 2025

https://bovineprp.blogspot.com/2025/09/usda-national-scrapie-program-history.html

https://scrapie-usa.blogspot.com/2025/09/usda-national-scrapie-program-history.html

Cattle with the E211K polymorphism, and gCJD linked to a glutamic acid to lysine substitution at codon 200 (E200K) of PRNP, what if?

https://creutzfeldt-jakob-disease.blogspot.com/2026/01/cattle-with-e211k-polymorphism-and-gcjd.html

Cattle with the E211K vs Humans E200K of PRNP, what if?

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/195/cattle-e211k-humans-e200k-prnp

US Report, Scrapie, CWD, Cattle, Sheep, Pigs, Cervid, Humans, Zoonotic, 2026


SUNDAY, APRIL 12, 2026 

Chronic Wasting Disease in Farmed Cervids, South Korea, 2001–2024

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2026/04/chronic-wasting-disease-in-farmed.html

Wednesday, April 1, 2026

First identification of camel prion disease in Tataouine, Tunisia: an emerging animal prion disease in North Africa

https://camelusprp.blogspot.com/2026/04/first-identification-of-camel-prion.html

SUNDAY, MARCH 8, 2026

Texas Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease Deaths and Death Rates per Year (2013-2022) More Than Tripled, and case reporting has ceased since then

https://cjdtexas.blogspot.com/2026/03/texas-creutzfeldt-jakob-disease-deaths.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/209/texas-cases-more-triples-2013

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2025

US NATIONAL PRION DISEASE PATHOLOGY SURVEILLANCE CENTER CJD TSE REPORT 2025

https://prionunitusaupdate.blogspot.com/2025/10/us-national-prion-disease-pathology.html

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2025

While no one was watching: Tenuous status of CDC prion unit, risk of CWD to people worry scientists

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2025/11/while-no-one-was-watching-tenuous.html

SATURDAY, JANUARY 10, 2026

Neuropsychiatric symptoms in sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease, a review

https://creutzfeldt-jakob-disease.blogspot.com/2026/01/neuropsychiatric-symptoms-in-sporadic.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/191/neuropsychiatric-symptoms-sporadic-cjd-review

SUNDAY, MARCH 23, 2025

Creutzfeldt Jakob Disease TSE Prion Increasing 2025 Update

https://creutzfeldt-jakob-disease.blogspot.com/2025/03/creutzfeldt-jakob-disease-tse-prion.html

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 13, 2024

Creutzfeldt Jacob Disease CJD, BSE, CWD, TSE Prion, December 14, 2024 Annual Update

https://creutzfeldt-jakob-disease.blogspot.com/2024/12/creutzfeldt-jacob-disease-cjd-bse-cwd.html

Friendly Fire, unforeseen circumstances, iatrogenic Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathy 

The Eyes are the windows to Our Souls, and a Potential Pathway for the TSE Prion disease, what if?



Terry S. Singeltary Sr. Bacliff, Texas 77518 flounder9@verizon.net

Monday, December 1, 2025

U of A led research suggests new culprit in mad cow disease The devastating disease can be caused without the presence of infectious prions?

U of A led research suggests new culprit in mad cow disease The devastating disease can be caused without the presence of infectious prions?

U of A-led research suggests new culprit in mad cow disease

The devastating disease can be caused without the presence of infectious prions, study shows.

DECEMBER 01, 2025 BY BEV BETKOWSKI

A groundbreaking study led by U of A researchers shows that bovine spongiform encephalopathy, or “mad cow disease,” may not only be caused by misfolded proteins in the brain — a discovery that could point to new ways to prevent the disease. (Photo: Getty Images)

Groundbreaking research led by the University of Alberta challenges the belief that mad cow disease is caused only by misfolded proteins — a discovery that sheds new light on the devastating outbreak in the United Kingdom 40 years ago and provides new hope for prevention.

The study shows for the first time that such prion-like brain diseases can be triggered without the presence of infectious prions. Prion disease occurs when normal proteins in the brain misfold into infectious, abnormal proteins.

Instead, chronic inflammation caused by a powerful bacterial endotoxin called lipopolysaccharide (LPS) was identified as a culprit that can independently trigger brain damage resembling prion disease.

“This fundamentally challenges the prevailing theory that these types of brain diseases are only about prions or similar misfolded proteins,” says Burim Ametaj, a nutritional immunobiologist in the Faculty of Agricultural, Life & Environmental Sciences and lead author on the study.

The research revealed more of a multifaceted process behind that neurodegeneration, showing that inflammation weakens the brain’s defences first, overwhelming cells. Proteins could then start misfolding and the immune system over-reacts, causing more damage.

“All three processes feed into each other, which means we need to target inflammation and immune health, not just the misfolded proteins.”

New clue to a devastating outbreak The discovery suggests that endotoxins in the animal-derived feed offered to cattle may have contributed to the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE), or mad cow disease, crises in the United Kingdom, Ametaj says.

The outbreaks devastated the livestock industry in the 1980s and 1990s, resulting in the deaths of more than 160 people who’d eaten infected beef, and the slaughter of more than four million cattle.

The study provided striking evidence that LPS alone, administered under the skin, caused spongiform brain symptoms in 40 per cent of mouse models — a “holey” appearance in the tissues seen in BSE and related diseases. When LPS was combined with lab-created misfolded proteins, that number rose to 50 per cent. In both scenarios, this Alzheimer-like damage happened even when the naturally occurring infectious prion responsible for BSE was absent.

The research also showed that when an actual prion disease such as BSE is present, inflammation caused by LPS dramatically worsens damage to the brain, resulting in 100 per cent mortality within 200 days of infection.

This fundamentally challenges the prevailing theory that these types of brain diseases are only about prions or similar misfolded proteins.

Burim Ametaj

Burim Ametaj (Photo: John Ulan) The new findings could offer insight into why there were many more BSE cases in England and Wales than in Scotland, based on the procedures rendering plants used to make livestock feed, Ametaj says.

“Plants in England and Wales removed a critical substance called hexane from the production process to cut costs. This solvent was essential not only for fat extraction, but also for dissolving and removing LPS from the meat-and-bone meal.

“In contrast, Scottish rendering plants retained the hexane step and potentially because of that, had markedly fewer BSE cases — a fact long known but never systematically explained,” he notes.

The study measured LPS in meat-and-bone meal, blood meal and tallow — the feed implicated in BSE — and confirmed high levels of contamination. Combined with chronic exposure to such feed, predisposing conditions in dairy cows induced by high-grain diets immediately postpartum, and by an increased “leaky gut”, can trigger systemic inflammation and could contribute to the development of neurodegenerative disease, Ametaj notes.

“This suggests that excluding the hexane step left contaminated feed that could independently trigger neurodegeneration, explaining why the BSE epidemic followed the geographic pattern it did.”

Implications for human diseases The research may hold major implications for feed and livestock producers, Ametaj adds.

“The lessons from the BSE outbreaks about proper rendering processes and better feed safety remain relevant today. The prevention path is clear: maintain endotoxin-removal processing steps and monitor contamination. Any industrial feeding system that doesn’t control this could create conditions for neurodegeneration.”

He’s also “cautiously optimistic” about how the findings could help prevent or treat human diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson’s.

“It opens up an entire anti-inflammatory medicine toolkit. Bacterial endotoxins have been found in the brains of Alzheimer’s patients, so risk factors that reduce dementia — exercise, anti-inflammatory diets, gut health, metabolic health — might work partly by reducing endotoxin burden.

“These diseases are complex, but if endotoxin exposure contributes to even 20 to 30 per cent of cases, controlling this modifiable risk factor could spare millions of people,” Ametaj adds. “We might prevent some neurodegenerative diseases the way we prevent heart disease, by managing inflammatory risk factors throughout life.

“In a field where there’s been little hope, that matters.”

Study co-authors include former master’s student Seyed Ali Goldansaz, postdoctoral fellows Dagnachew Hailemariam and Elda Dervishi, U of A scientists David Wishart and David Westaway and his team, and researchers from the University of Warmia and Mazury in Poland.

The study was funded by the former Alberta Livestock and Meat Agency and the Alberta Prion Research Institute.

https://www.ualberta.ca/en/folio/2025/12/u-of-a-led-research-suggests-new-culprit-in-mad-cow-disease.html

27 June 2025

Lipopolysaccharide and Recombinant Prion Protein Induce Distinct Neurodegenerative Pathologies in FVB/N Mice

Seyed Ali Goldansaz1,2,† , Dagnachew Hailemariam1,† , Elda Dervishi1 , Grzegorz Zwierzchowski1,3 , Roman Wójcik4 , David S. Wishart5,6 and Burim N. Ametaj1,*

1 Department of Agricultural, Food and Nutritional Science, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2P5, Canada 2 Sustainable Livestock Systems Branch, Sustainable Agri-Food Sciences Division, Agri-Food & Biosciences Institute, Hillsborough BT26 6DR, UK 3 Faculty of Biology and Biotechnology, University of Warmia and Mazury, 1a Oczapowskiego Str., 10-719 Olsztyn, Poland 4 Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Warmia and Mazury, 1a Oczapowskiego Str., 10-719 Olsztyn, Poland

Show more Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(13), 6245; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26136245 This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Research on Immune Cells and Cytokines (2nd Edition)

Version Notes

Order Reprints Abstract

Prion diseases are classically attributed to the accumulation of protease-resistant prion protein (PrPSc); however, recent evidence suggests that alternative misfolded prion conformers and systemic inflammatory factors may also contribute to neurodegeneration. This study investigated whether recombinant moPrPRes, generated by incubating wild-type mouse PrPC with bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS), can induce prion-like disease in FVB/N female mice, whether LPS alone causes neurodegeneration, and how LPS modulates disease progression in mice inoculated with the Rocky Mountain Laboratory (RML) strain of prions. Wild-type female FVB/N mice were randomized into six subcutaneous treatment groups: saline, LPS, moPrPRes, moPrPRes + LPS, RML, and RML + LPS. Animals were monitored longitudinally for survival, body weight, and clinical signs. Brain tissues were analyzed histologically and immunohistochemically for vacuolar degeneration, PrPSc accumulation, reactive astrogliosis, and amyloid-β plaque deposition. Recombinant moPrPRes induced a progressive spongiform encephalopathy characterized by widespread vacuolation and astrogliosis, yet with no detectable PrPSc by Western blot or immunohistochemistry. LPS alone triggered a distinct neurodegenerative phenotype, including cerebellar amyloid-β plaque accumulation and terminal-stage spongiosis, with approximately 40% mortality by the end of the study. Co-administration of moPrPRes and LPS resulted in variable regional pathology and intermediate survival (50% at 750 days post-inoculation). Interestingly, RML + LPS co-treatment led to earlier clinical onset and mortality compared to RML alone; however, vacuolation levels were not significantly elevated and, in some brain regions, were reduced. These results demonstrate that chronic endotoxemia and non-infectious misfolded PrP conformers can independently or synergistically induce key neuropathological hallmarks of prion disease, even in the absence of classical PrPSc. Targeting inflammatory signaling and toxic prion intermediates may offer novel therapeutic strategies for prion and prion-like disorders.

Keywords: recombinant prion protein; lipopolysaccharide; cofactor; neurodegeneration; prion disease

https://www.mdpi.com/1422-0067/26/13/6245

***>

If this study holds true, Spontaneous BSE would be the cattle industry worse case scenario nightmare imho…terry

===>

“The research also showed that when an actual prion disease such as BSE is present, inflammation caused by LPS dramatically worsens damage to the brain, resulting in 100 per cent mortality within 200 days of infection.

This fundamentally challenges the prevailing theory that these types of brain diseases are only about prions or similar misfolded proteins.

Burim Ametaj (Photo: John Ulan) The new findings could offer insight into why there were many more BSE cases in England and Wales than in Scotland, based on the procedures rendering plants used to make livestock feed, Ametaj says.

“Plants in England and Wales removed a critical substance called hexane from the production process to cut costs. This solvent was essential not only for fat extraction, but also for dissolving and removing LPS from the meat-and-bone meal.

“In contrast, Scottish rendering plants retained the hexane step and potentially because of that, had markedly fewer BSE cases — a fact long known but never systematically explained,” he notes.

The study measured LPS in meat-and-bone meal, blood meal and tallow — the feed implicated in BSE — and confirmed high levels of contamination. Combined with chronic exposure to such feed, predisposing conditions in dairy cows induced by high-grain diets immediately postpartum, and by an increased “leaky gut”, can trigger systemic inflammation and could contribute to the development of neurodegenerative disease, Ametaj notes.

“This suggests that excluding the hexane step left contaminated feed that could independently trigger neurodegeneration, explaining why the BSE epidemic followed the geographic pattern it did.”

Implications for human diseases The research may hold major implications for feed and livestock producers, Ametaj adds.

“The lessons from the BSE outbreaks about proper rendering processes and better feed safety remain relevant today. The prevention path is clear: maintain endotoxin-removal processing steps and monitor contamination. Any industrial feeding system that doesn’t control this could create conditions for neurodegeneration.” 

<***

Something to ponder!…terry

***>


“In the United Kingdom there is much concern for a specific continuous rendering technology which uses lower temperatures and accounts for 25 percent of total output. This technology was originally designed and imported from the United States. However, the specific application in the production process is _believed_ to be different in the two countries.”

“The application of solvent in the production process requires an additional reheating of product in order to burn off any remaining solvent residues. Whether it is the application of solvent or the reheating of product that may reduce any potential infectivity is uncertain. If all mature sheep meat and bone meal were fed to dairy cows it would amount to 3.4 pounds per cow per year in the United Kingdom and 2.8 ounces per cow in the United States.”

I remember back in 2000…

Singeltary 2000

BMJ 2000; 320 doi: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.320.7226.8/b (Published 01 January 2000) Cite this as: BMJ 2000;320:8

02 January 2000 Terry S Singeltary retired

Rapid Response:

U.S. Scientist should be concerned with a CJD epidemic in the U.S., as well...

In reading your short article about 'Scientist warn of CJD epidemic' news in brief Jan. 1, 2000. I find the findings in the PNAS old news, made famous again. Why is the U.S. still sitting on their butts, ignoring the facts? We have the beginning of a CJD epidemic in the U.S., and the U.S. Gov. is doing everything in it's power to conceal it.

The exact same recipe for B.S.E. existed in the U.S. for years and years. In reading over the Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors-1, this is a 25 page report by the USDA:APHIS:VS. It could have been done in one page. The first page, fourth paragraph says it all;

"Similarities exist in the two countries usage of continuous rendering technology and the lack of usage of solvents, however, large differences still remain with other risk factors which greatly reduce the potential risk at the national level."

Then, the next 24 pages tries to down-play the high risks of B.S.E. in the U.S., with nothing more than the cattle to sheep ratio count, and the geographical locations of herds and flocks. That's all the evidence they can come up with, in the next 24 pages.

Something else I find odd, page 16;

"In the United Kingdom there is much concern for a specific continuous rendering technology which uses lower temperatures and accounts for 25 percent of total output. This technology was _originally_ designed and imported from the United States. However, the specific application in the production process is _believed_ to be different in the two countries."

A few more factors to consider, page 15;

"Figure 26 compares animal protein production for the two countries. The calculations are based on slaughter numbers, fallen stock estimates, and product yield coefficients. This approach is used due to variation of up to 80 percent from different reported sources. At 3.6 million tons, the United States produces 8 times more animal rendered product than the United Kingdom."

"The risk of introducing the BSE agent through sheep meat and bone meal is more acute in both relative and absolute terms in the United Kingdom (Figures 27 and 28). Note that sheep meat and bone meal accounts for 14 percent, or 61 thousand tons, in the United Kingdom versus 0.6 percent or 22 thousand tons in the United States. For sheep greater than 1 year, this is less than one-tenth of one percent of the United States supply."

"The potential risk of amplification of the BSE agent through cattle meat and bone meal is much greater in the United States where it accounts for 59 percent of total product or almost 5 times more than the total amount of rendered product in the United Kingdom."

Considering, it would only take _one_ scrapie infected sheep to contaminate the feed. Considering Scrapie has run rampant in the U.S. for years, as of Aug. 1999, 950 scrapie infected flocks. Also, Considering only one quarter spoonful of scrapie infected material is lethal to a cow.

Considering all this, the sheep to cow ration is meaningless. As I said, it's 24 pages of B.S.e.

To be continued...

Terry S. Singeltary Sr. Bacliff, Texas USA

Competing interests: No competing interests

https://www.bmj.com/rapid-response/2011/10/28/us-scientist-should-be-concerned-cjd-epidemic-us-well

Published: 30 June 2015

Transmission of scrapie prions to primate after an extended silent incubation period

***Moreover, sporadic disease has never been observed in breeding colonies or primate research laboratories, most notably among hundreds of animals over several decades of study at the National Institutes of Health25, and in nearly twenty older animals continuously housed in our own facility.***

Even if the prevailing view is that sporadic CJD is due to the spontaneous formation of CJD prions, it remains possible that its apparent sporadic nature may, at least in part, result from our limited capacity to identify an environmental origin.

https://www.nature.com/articles/srep11573

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=361032

O.05: Transmission of prions to primates after extended silent incubation periods: Implications for BSE and scrapie risk assessment in human populations

*** We recently observed the direct transmission of a natural classical scrapie isolate to macaque after a 10-year silent incubation period,

***with features similar to some reported for human cases of sporadic CJD, albeit requiring fourfold long incubation than BSE. Scrapie, as recently evoked in humanized mice (Cassard, 2014),

***is the third potentially zoonotic PD (with BSE and L-type BSE),

***thus questioning the origin of human sporadic cases.

==============

PRION 2015 CONFERENCE

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5019500/

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors in the United States

From: Terry S. Singeltary Sr. 

Subject: Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors in the United States (part 1) 

Date: February 13, 2000 at 3:37 pm PST

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors in the United States (part 1)

Contents; Executive Summary................1 Introduction.....................2 Sheep Population and Practices...3 Cattle Inventories and Practices.8 Slaughter Industry..............13 Rendering Industry..............15 Feed Industry...................19 Qualitative Assessment..........23 List of Figures.................25

__________________________________________________________________

Executive Summary

Since 1986, Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) has been diagnosed in over 21,000 cattle, 0.5 percent of the United Kingdom adult cattle population or 9-10 percent of the beef and dairy operations. Almost exclusive to the United Kingdom, new cases currently average 325-350 per week. BSE is an unconventional infectious virus. Current hypotheses suggest that an increase in the exposure of cattle to the sheep scrapie agent via ruminant derived proteins in feedstuffs have led to a detectable incidence of the disease. While BSE is not known to exist in the United States, it is of concern when considering that receipts to farmers from cattle, sheep and related products are roughly $60 billion dollars per year and feed expenses are over $20 billion per year. This report contrasts the United States and United Kingdom sheep and cattle demographics along with characteristics of the slaughter, feed, and rendering industries. This contrast is followed by an analysis of major similarities and differences in order to arrive at a qualitative assessment of the risk of BSE at the national level.

Within the United Kingdom, a number of key related factors provide possible explanations for a change in contact of cattle to sheep-derived proteins. Sheep numbers increased by 12 million head over the last decade allowing a probable increase in the prevalence of scrapie infected flocks. Increased sheep numbers led to a larger amount of sheep raw material from both fallen and slaughter stock in animal products. In addition, the adoption of a newer continuous rendering technology process along with a drastic reduction in hydrocarbon solvents have led to changes in the manufacturing processes.

Similarities exist in the two countries usage of continuous rendering technology and the lack of usage of solvents, however, large differences still remain with other risk factors which greatly reduce the potential risk at the national level.

The United Kingdom has 4 times as many sheep and 3 times as many ewes on a land mass slightly smaller than the State of Oregon. The higher density of sheep to land along with substantial movement of sheep is conducive to facilitating the spread of scrapie across the sheep population. In the United States, 80 percent of the sheep are in the 17 western States. With predators such as coyotes and large rangeland operations, removal of fallen and diseased sheep stock to be rendered is less complete compared to the specialized United Kingdom "knacker" industry.

The ratio of all sheep to all cattle is 32 times greater in the United Kingdom. Likewise, the ratio of all mature sheep to all milk cows is 10 times larger. Sheep in the United Kingdom account for 14 percent of raw rendering material versus 0.6 percent in the United States. This computes to 3.4 pounds per dairy cow in the United Kingdom versus 2.8 ounces per head in the United States.

Almost all cases have been in dairy herds with 89 percent of cases in cows 4 years and older. In the United States, 53 percent of all dairy cows are less than 4 years of age. In the United Kingdom, 70 percent of all dairy cows are older than 4 years. The United States feeds 41 pounds per 100 pounds of milk produced versus 21 pounds in the United Kingdom. However, for each pound of mature sheep meat and bone meal produced, 17 tons of dairy concentrate are fed in the United States versus 0.4 tons in the United Kingdom. The United States grows an abundance of plant based proteins. The United Kingdom has traditionally imported some 500-600,000 tons of soybeans. Moreover, the portion of animal proteins used as a percent of all other major feed proteins is 6-7 percent greater in the United Kingdom.

While this qualitative analysis suggests the potential risk of BSE at the national level is substantially less, no analysis is made of the variation in the levels of risk across geographic areas of production. Of consideration are factors such as the concentration of mature sheep slaughter and the proximity of rendered products from mature sheep offal to dairy populations. A more indepth quantitative analysis of these and other risk factors are contained in the APHIS:VS Ouantitative Risk Assessment of BSE in the United States.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 1

_______________________________________________________________

Introduction

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) is an unconventional infectious virus. Virtually all cases have been in the United Kingdom with new cases currently averaging 325-350 per week. The current hypotheses suggest that an increase in the exposure of cattle to the scrapie agent via ruminant derived proteins in feedstuffs have led to a detectable incidence of the disease. Key related factors provide possible explanations for a change in the contact of cattle to sheep-derived protein. Sheep numbers increased in the last decade suggesting a probable increase in the prevalence of scrapie infected flocks.

Increased sheep numbers led to a larger amount of sheep raw material from both slaughter and fallen stock in rendered animal products. Concurrently, cattle numbers trended down decreasing their contribution to total rendered product. The adoption of a newer, continuous rendering process allowed for lower temperature and/or shorter periods of time to be used in the manufacturing process. In addition, the decline in the usage of hydrocarbon solvents and the associated heat treatment used in this process potentially resulted in increased survival of the infectious agent.

The qualitative analysis presented in this report compares and contrasts the United States and United Kingdom sheep and cattle demographics along with characteristics of the slaughter, feed, and rendering industries. Comparisons between the two countries are presented at the aggregate or national level. For each sector, background and demographic information is given followed by a section outlining key differences between the two countries as it relates to BSE. This is followed by a qualitative assessment which syntheses the major similarities and differences in order to arrive at a broad estimate of risk at the national level.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 2

__________________________________________________________________

Sheep Population and Practices

For the past 10 years, the sheep populations in the two countries have moved inversely. From a peak of 49 million head in 1942, United States' sheep inventories have trended down (Figure 1). Contributing factors include a shrinking consumer base, a higher relative price compared to other meats, wide price variations from small changes in supply, and a dwindling supply of experienced labor. Based on location and production practices, United States sheep operations can be geographically divided into two categories. First, 80 percent of all sheep are located in the 17 western States (Figure 2). Mostly white-faced breeds, these operations can contain both sheep and cow-calf enterprises. Available range lands constitute a major feed stock. The density of sheep to usable land is low, computed at 1 animal per 10 acres. Second, of the remaining 20 percent of sheep, many are in the upper Midwest. Often small and part-time operations, many of the sheep are black-faced breeds. The upper Midwest contains some of the highest densities of sheep to usable land at 1 animal per 3 acres (Figure 3).

The United Kingdom sheep population is increasing from a 1978-80 average of 30.4 million head to a 1989 inventory level of 42.9 million head (Figure 4). While sheep meat consumption is one-half the level of 20 years ago, less imports and production incentives have acted to increase domestic production. Moreover, the imposition of milk quotas coupled with a price support system whereby one-third of revenues are from non-market sources have boosted the number of combined sheep and dairy operations. Substantial movement of sheep occurs with animals, including ewes, transported from the highlands of Northern England and Scotland to the lowlands further south. In addition there is significant buying, selling, and transportation of sheep to arbitrage price differentials across areas.

Farm Size and Concentration

Although each country has roughly 92,000 sheep operations, the United Kingdom contains 4 times as many sheep with the distribution of sheep across different herd sizes varying significantly (Figure 5). Herd size distribution is even more pronounced in the United States where 50 percent of the sheep operations are of the smallest size category, 1-24 head, which accounts for only 4.5 percent of all sheep. Conversely, only 2 percent of the United States sheep operations are of the largest size category, 1000 + head, which accounts for 51 percent of all sheep. This compares with 55 percent of the United Kingdom sheep operations having between 100 and 1000 head and accounting for 47 percent of all sheep.

Scrapie Disease

Both countries have taken different approaches to sheep scrapie disease. The United States has employed indemnity payments and encouraged reporting as control measures. Scrapie has been reported in 35 States with most of the reported cases in the black-faced breeds (Figures 6 and 7). The reporting of scrapie has been notably influenced by the real (inflation adjusted) value of the indemnity payment (Figure 8). The 1980-90 cumulative reported incidence of scrapie is 7.5 flocks per 1000 flocks, with substantial intrastate variation.

With scrapie endemic for at least two hundred years, the United Kingdom has no national movement to encourage the control or reporting of the disease. Even though prevalence estimates are suspect, the results suggest that scrapie is common within all breeds. Further, the total number of all cases is substantially greater in the United Kingdom versus the United States.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 3 __________________________________________________________________

Sheep Population and Practices

Key Factors

During the 1980's, the two countries' sheep populations moved inversely. The United Kingdom now has 4 times as many sheep and lambs and more importantly about 3 times as many mature sheep or sheep greater than 1 year old (Figure 9). This increase in the number of sheep in the United Kingdom allowed for a probable increase ia the prevalence of scrapie flocks. The result was more infected sheep material from slaughter and dead stock available for usage in animal protein products.

Unlike the United States where 50 percent of the sheep are on 2 percent of the farms, the United Kingdom has 47 percent of the sheep on one-half of the farms. This supports a more active market to buy, sell, and move stock sheep across the United Kingdom. This also facilitates a potential spread of scrapie across the population.

U.S. Sheep Inventory 1974 - 1990-

Thousands of animals

Figure 1

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

1975 1980 1985 1990.

[[[chart above, and map below not available to scan and paste...TSS]]]

Number of Sheep and Lambs by State - 1990 U.S. total = 11,365.4 (Thousands)

Figure 2 MAP [[[not available...but shows Texas having the largest number, with the map showing it being the only state completely blackened in. It is measured in 1,000's of head, with the completely blackened area being > 1,000...TSS]]]

Source: USDA/NASS USDA:APHIS:VS -- Source: USDA/NASS *Preliminary

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 4 __________________________________________________________________

Sheep Population and Practices

U.S. SHEEP - COUNTY POP. DIST. 1987 (ANIMALS / ACRE)

Figure 3 [[[MAPS AND CHARTS NOT AVAILABLE...TSS]]]

U.K. Sheep Inventory 1978 - 1989

Thousands of Animals

Figure 4 [[[NOT AVAILABLE...TSS]]]

Source: Agricultural Statistics, United Kingdom

Figure 5 U.K. & U.S. Comparison of Sheep Numbers and Farms by Herd Size - 1989

Herd Size % of Sheep % of Farms (# head) U.S. U.K. U.S. U.K.

1-24 4.5 .3 50.0 11.0

25-99 13.5 2.7 34.0 21.0

100-299 14.0 11.4 10.0 27.0

300-999 16.7 35.4 4.0 28.0

1000 + 51.3 50.2 2.0 13.0

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: U.S. Ag Census U.S. Ag Statistics MAFF, United Kingdom

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 5 __________________________________________________________________

Sheep Population and Practices

Cumulative Incidence of Scrapie in Sheep 1980-1990

Figure 6 Infected Scrapie Flocks/10,000 Ewes

0 to 0.016

0.017 fo 0.23

0.24 to 2.63

2.64 to 20.45

[[[Map Not Available...TSS]]]

U.S. Breed Distribution of Sheep Scrapie Reported (1947-1990)

Figure 7 [[[Chart not available...TSS]]]

Suffolk---------84.%

Hampshire--------6.%

Cheviots---------2.%

Crossbreds-------1.%

Southdowns-------0.5%

Montadales-------0.25%

Finns------------0.1%

Merino-----------0.1%

Cottswold--------0.1%

Corriedale-------0.1%

Dorset-----------0.1%

Rambouillet------0.1%

Breed not listed-5.7%

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 6 __________________________________________________________________

Sheep Population and Practices

Effect of Indemnity on U.S. SCRAPIE Reporting

Scrapie Flocks Reported Indemnity Payment

Figure 8 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Figure 9 Sheep & Lamb Inventories - 1989 (thousand head)

U.S. U.K. U.K./U.S.

(January) (June)

All Sheep & Lambs 10,858 42,885 4.0

Sheep > 1 year 7,521 21,284 2.8

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 7 __________________________________________________________________

Cattle Inventories and Practices

Similar to sheep, cattle production has varied significantly within the two countries. Although the number of cattle have declined by 2 million head per year since 1975, the United States still maintains more than 8 times as many cattle (Figures 10 and 11) as the United Kingdom (Figure 12). Concentrate feeding remains an important practice with 75 percent of all cattle slaughtered having spent time in a feedlot. At 12 million head, the United Kingdom beef numbers have declined by 1.5 million head in the last 10 years. Unlike the United States where per capita beef consumption has dropped almost 6 pounds since 1987, the United Kingdom household consumption has remained relatively unchanged and reports of drastic decline in beef demand have been exaggerated.

The number of dairy cows in both countries have declined but for different reasons. At 10.1 million head versus 2.9 million head, the United States has 3.5 times more cows. In the United States, per cow and total milk production have more than offset the decline in cow numbers (Figures 13 and 14). Milk support policies, genetic advances and more intensive management have encouraged the culling of older cows and the feeding of concentrates in the United States (Figure 15). Compared to the United Kingdom, dairy cows in the United States are on average 1.3 years younger, produce 5,000 more pounds of milk and consume 1.8 additional tons of concentrate feeds (Figure 16). Cow numbers in the United States are disproportionate to the herd size distributions. The smallest herd size category, 1-29 head, contains 45 percent of the farms but only 7 percent of the cows. The highest category, 200 + head, contains only 2 percent of the farms but 24 percent of the cows (Figure 16).

The decrease in the United Kingdom dairy cow numbers of about 400,000 over the last ten years has been notably influenced by the imposition of dairy milk production quotas. A slight gain in per cow milk production has not been sufficient to compensate for the decline in cow numbers causing total milk production to decline. Unlike the United States, dairy, beef, and/or sheep are often combined operations with little concentrate fed. Roughly two-thirds of eventual cattle slaughter originate from dairy stock and approximately 5-7 percent of cows in cow-calf herds are culled dairy cows. Milk quotas have boosted the number of sheep raised with dairy. For England and Wales, 72 percent of sheep operations contain 81 percent of all sheep and 50 percent of all cattle (Figure 17). Compared to the United States, herd size distribution is more proportional across herd size classes in the United Kingdom.

Key Factors

The distribution by breed and functional type (Figure 18) indicates that 98 percent of all reported BSE cases in the United Kingdom have been in dairy herds. The proportion of cases is similar to the breed distribution and suggests no predisposition by breed to disease.

Compared to the United Kingdom, United States dairy production is more intensive, using less grass and more concentrate feeds. Concentrates fed per cow ranges from 1.9 tons to over 5 tons. The sourcing and relative quantities of protein components in concentrates varies considerably depending on geographic location and prices of substitutes.

Of critical importance are the relative age distributions. Fifty-three percent of the United States dairy cows are less than 4 years of age, whereas, 70 percent of the United Kingdom's dairy cows are greater than 4 years and have accounted for 89 percent of the BSE reported cases. In 1989, the occurrence of BSE in cows 2-3 years of age was approximately 12 cases per 10,000 cows (Figure 19). For cows greater than 4 years, the range was from 59 cases per 10,000 cows for age 7 and older to 288 cases per 10,000 for cows of age 5.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 8 ___________________________________________________________________

Cattle Inventories and Practices

At 329 affected herds per 10,000 herds, herds Containing 200 or more head (Figure 16) are at greatest risk of BSE in the United Kingdom. This compares with 14 herds per 10,000 herds for herds of less than 50 head. The United Kingdom has 9 percent of all dairy cows in the largest herd size category versus 24 percent in the United States.

The ratio of all sheep to all catfie is 32 times greater in the United Kingdom versus the United States. Because of the extended incubation period, sheep greater than 1 year of age are of primary concern for scrapie disease. In this case, the ratio of all sheep greater than 1 year to all beef and milk cows is 29 times greater in the United Kingdom. For mature sheep to milk cows, the ratio is 10 times greater in the United Kingdom (Figure 20).

Total U.S. Cattle Inventory 1974 - 1990

Figure 10 Million Head

1975-132,000,000

1980-111,000,000

1985-110,000,000

1990-99,000,000*

Source: USDA:NASS USDA:APHIS:VS *Partial Estimate

U.K. Beef & Dairy Cattle Inventory 1978-1989

Thousands of Animals

Figure 11 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Source: Agricultural Statistics United Kingdom USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 9 _________________________________________________________________

Cattle Inventories and Practices

Cattle & Calf Inventories (thousand head) Figure 12 U.S. U.K. (1990) (1989)

All Cattle and Calves 99,337 12,016

Beef Cows 33,705 1,495

Milk Cows 10,149 2,867

Heifers, Steers, Bulls, and Calves 55,484 7,654

USD:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Figure 13 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Number of U.S. Milk Cows and Average per Cow Milk Production (1965-1989)

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:NASS

Figure 14 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Total U.S. Milk Production 1965 - 1989 Million Pounds USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:NASS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 10 __________________________________________________________________

Cattle Inventories and Practices

Dairy Cow Inventories, Average Milk Production and Concentrate Fed

U,S. (1990) U,K. (1989)

Dairy Cows 10,149 2,867 (thousand head)

Figure 15 Average Milk Production (Ibs/yr) 14,244 9,448

Concentrate Fed (Ibs/yr) 5,800 2,180

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: Agricultural Statistics & MAFF, United Kingdom, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Comparison of Herds, Cows and U.K. BSE Cases by Herd Size - 1988

Figure 16 Herd Size U.S. U.K. U.K. BSE* (# of head) % herds % cows % herds % cows case herds/ 10,000 herds 1-29 45 7 27 6 14

30-49 23 18 23 15

50-99 23 32 34 39 72

100-199 7 19 14 30 193

200+ 2 24 2 9 329

*As of April 1988

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: Ag. Statistics United Kingdom The Veterinary Record (12/17/88) U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Figure 17

Sheep and Cattle Operations U.S. U.K. (1988) (1989)

Number of Sheep Operations 92,489 91,296

Number of Cattle Operations 1,176,346 70,378

Number of Dairy Operations 202,068 47,935

Percent of Sheep Operations 58% 72%* with Cattle

Percent of all Sheep 59% 81%* within Combined Operations

Percent of all Cattle within Combined Operations 4.5% 50%*

*Data for England and Wales only.

Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 11 _________________________________________________________________

Cattle Inventories and Practices

U.K. Distribution of BSE Confirmed & Suspect Cases* by Breed & Functional Type

Figure 18

Breed Dairy Cows Beef Cows

Friesian/Holstein 662 0

Ayrshire/3/4 Ayshire 11 0

Guernsey/3/4 Guernsey 18 0

Hereford x Friesian 0 12

Devon x Frieslan 0 1

Jersey x Friesian 1 0

Shorthorn 1 0

Shorthorn x Danish Rd 1 0

Jersey 2 0

Charolais 0 1

-As of April 1988

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom

Age Distribution of Dairy Cows U.K. Occurrence of BSE - 1989

Figure 19

U.K. BSE Occurrence Age Distribution (%) % of cases #cases per~ Age U.S. U.K. 10,000 cows

2 year old cows 31 10 .4 5

3 year old cows 23 20 11 7

4 year old cows 17 18 38 276

5 year old cows 12 16 35 288

6 year old cows 8 12 13 131

7+ year old cow 9 24 3 59

Average Age (years) 3.8 5.1

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Animal Populations

Figure 20

U.S. U.K. U.K./U.S. (1989)

Ratio of ALL SHEEP to ALL CATTLE .11 3.6 32.7

Ratio of ALL SHEEP to Milk Cows 1.1 15.0 13.6

Ratio of ALL SHEEP > lyr to ALL Beef & Milk Cows .17 4.9 28.8

Ratio of ALL SHEEP > lyr to ALL Milk Cows .74 7.4 10.0

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 12 _________________________________________________________________

Slaughter Industry

As expected, the United States slaughters and produces 10 times more cattle and meat as the United Kingdom (Figure 21). For sheep however, the United Kingdom slaughters 3.5 times as many animals and 5.5 times as many ewes. At 843 million pounds, total sheep slaughter is 2.5 times greater than in the United States (Figure 22). Moreover, the numbers do not reflect the 300 million tons of imports some of which are live animals from the Irish Republic for slaughter in the United Kingdom.

Key Factors

The structure of the United States slaughter industry is more specialized with a large portion of the total supply originating from plants customized for specific species. Of the 4,500 commercial slaughter plants in the United States, 97 percent of slaughter comes from 1,300 federally inspected plants. In the United Kingdom, there are approximately 700 slaughter plants with 200 plants accounting for 85 percent of the total slaughter. Although some plants are species specific, many plants accommodate sheep, cattle, and swine which reflects the fluid movement and sale of animals around the country. There are only some 50 plants which contain inspectors and are licensed for export.

In the United Kingdom, 60 percent of the sheep slaughter occurs in the last 2 quarters and 18 percent in the 2nd quarter. In the United States only slight variation occurs over the four quarters. Cattle slaughter across quarters is fairly constant for both countries.

Concentration at point of slaughter is more pronounced in the United States. In 1989, eleven plants, each of which slaughtered more than 100,000 head, accounted for over 80 percent of total lamb slaughter (Figure 23). Twenty-four plants, each of which slaughtered more than 3,000 head, accounted for over 80 percent of total slaughter of sheep greater than one year old.

U.S. & U.K. Sheep & Cattle Slaughter - 1989

Figure 21

U.S. U.K.

All Cattle Slaughtered (thousand head) 36,330 3,667 / Average Dressed Carcass Weight (lbs) 683 634 / Total Production (million lbs) 23,098 2,127

All Sheep Slaughtered (thousand head) 5,572 20,338 / Total production (million lbs) 348 843*

Ratio of Cattle to Sheep Slaughter (lb basis) 66 2.5

*Does not include live animals imported from Irish Republic for slaughter.

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom U.S. Dept. of Agriculture

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 13 __________________________________________________________________

Slaughter Industry

Number & Age of Sheep Slaughter 1989

Figure 22

U.S. U.K.

All Sheep Slaughter (thousand head) 5,572 20,338

Lamb Slaughter 5,225 18,398

Mature Sheep 347 1,940

Slaughter Ratio of Lamb to Ewe 15 9.5

Average Dressed Weights (lbs)

Lambs 58 40

Mature Sheep 64 47

Mature Sheep as a Proportion of Total Dressed Weight 6.8% 11.0%

USDA:APHIS:VS

1989 Geographic Distribution of Plants Accounting for 80 Percenf of Sheep & Lamb Slaughter

Figure 23 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Interesting though, the state of Texas shows mature sheep slaughter > 3,000 head and lamb slaughter > 100,000 head and mature sheep slaughter > 3,000 head...TSS]]]

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 14

Rendering Industry

The rendering industries in both countries continue to undergo substantial structural adjustment. The current number of inedible renders in the United States is approximately 331, down from 990 in 1978. The decline of roughly 50 operations per year is attributable to several factors including changes in technology and slaughter industry practices. The older and more resource intensive batch rendering process is largely being replaced by a more efficient continuous processing technology. With the exception of some large poultry rendering operations, most of the rendering capacity uses the newer continuous rendering process. Prior to the mid 1970's, petroleum based solvents were used to further separate solids from oils, producing meat and bone meal with a 1-2 percent fat content. The increased price of oil corresponding with a market acceptance of a higher fat content has resulted in a virtual phaseout of solvents in the production process. Variation in product quality is more a function of management expertise than technology used. Because meat and bone meal is a small component of all protein sources, it is priced based on competing products such as soybean meal.

Two-thirds of the 45 rendering plants in the United Kingdom use the older batch process but account for only one-fourth of total output. The remaining 75 percent is produced at 15 plants. One firm operates 5 plants and accounts for 50 percent of the total output. Continuous processing technology was introduced in the 1970's and the usage of solvents declined to about 10 percent of total output by the early 1980's (Figure 24). The adoption of newer production technologies and the change in solvent usage appears to lag the United States by at least 5 years.

Key Factors

There are two important structural distinctions between the two countries (Figure 25). A "knacker" industry primarily handles the pick-up of dying and fallen stock from which a product called "greaves" is made. Greaves is either sold as pet food or purchased by renders to be combined with other animal raw materials for processing. The second important distinction is the movement of raw materials (before processing) and/or greaves among different renders. This is attributed in part to the geographic proximity of the plants, relative production efficiencies, and end product requirements. For example, the pet food industry sources specific types of organs and tissues from only certain species.

Figure 26 compares animal protein production for the two countries. The calculations are based on slaughter numbers, fallen stock estimates, and product yield coefficients. This approach is used due to variation of up to 80 percent from different reported sources. At 3.6 million tons, the United States produces 8 times more animal rendered product than the United Kingdom.

The risk of introducing the BSE agent through sheep meat and bone meal is more acute in both relative and absolute terms in the United Kingdom (Figures 27 and 28). Note that sheep meat and bone meal accounts for 14 percent, or 61 thousand tons, in the United Kingdom versus 0.6 percent or 22 thousand tons in the United States. For sheep greater than 1 year, this is less than one-tenth of one percent of the United States supply.

The potential risk of amplification of the BSE agent through cattle meat and bone meal is much greater in the United States where it accounts for 59 percent of total product or almost 5 times more than the total amount of rendered product in the United Kingdom.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 15 _________________________________________________________________

Rendering Industry

An estimate of the distribution of rendered product by species is shown in Figure 29. Prior to the United Kingdom's ban on feeding ruminant products to rnminants, 10-20 percent of rendered products went to cattle. The United Kingdom has been a net exporter of animal protein shipping up to 5 percent of total supply.

In the United Kingdom there is much concern for a specific continuous rendering technology which uses lower temperatures and accounts for 25 percent of total output. This technology was originally designed and imported from the United States. However, the specific application in the production process is _believed_ to be different in the two countries.

The application of solvent in the production process requires an additional reheating of product in order to burn off any remaining solvent residues. Whether it is the application of solvent or the reheating of product that may reduce any potential infectivity is uncertain. If all mature sheep meat and bone meal were fed to dairy cows it would amount to 3.4 pounds per cow per year in the United Kingdom and 2.8 ounces per cow in the United States.

Change in U.K. Rendering Processes 1964-1988

· MBM Produced Solvent Extraction

· MBM from Continous Rendering

Figure 24 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom

Figure 25

U.S. Rendering Industry Structure Slaughter--->Render<---Fallen Stock

U.K. Rendering Industry Structure Slaughter--->Render<---Knacker(Greaves)<---Fallen Stock

Render

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 16

__________________________________________________________________________

Rendering Industry

Figure 26

Animal Protein Rendered Production - 1989 (less blood, feather, and fish meal)

U.S. U.K.

Total Rendered Product (thousand tons) 3,648 438

Portion from Cattle Slaughter (%) 59

Portion from Hog Slaughter (%) 20

Portion from Poultry Slaughter (%) 21 18 Portion from All Sheep Slaughter (%) 0.6 14

USDA:APHIS:VS

U.S. Rendered Animal Protein* Estimated Species Composition - 1989

Figure 27 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Sources: U.S. Dept. of Agriculture U.S. Dept. of Commerce USDA:APHIS:VS National Rendering Assoc.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 17

__________________________________________________________________________

Rendering Industry

U.K. Rendered Animal Protein* Estimated Species Composition - 1989

Figure 28 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Distribution Estimate of Animal Rendered Proteins (percent) - 1989

Figure 29

U.S. U.K.

Pet Food 34 10 Poultry 34 45 Hogs 17 40 All Cattle 13 0* Miscellaneous 2 5

*Prior to BSE restrictions of July 1988, the portion going to cattle was 10-20 percent.

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysts of BSE Risk Factors - 18

__________________________________________________________________________

Feed Industry

Because of the relative abundance of protein sources, the usage of concentrates in the United States continues to increase over roughage and pasture (Figure 30). The bulk of concentrates fed are feed grains with very little food grains used (Figure 31). Almost all animal proteins fed to livestock and poultry start as a component of primary concentrate mixes (Figure 32). These feeds often form the basis for additional concentrate feeds. Meat and bone meal accounts for about 3 percent of primary concentrate tonnage (Figure 33) and 1.5 percent of the reported 183 million tons of concentrates fed in 1988 (Figure 34). The United Kingdom livestock production system is largely grass and roughage oriented. Figure 35 contrasts concentrate production with animal inventories. Of the almost 11 million tons of raw materials used in concentrates for 1988, over 5 million tons were from food grains such as wheat and barley. The United Kingdom imports 500-600,000 tons of soybeans per year.

Key Factors

Whereas 75 percent of cattle slaughter and 65 percent of sheep slaughter pass through feedlots in the United States, sheep and cattle in the United Kingdom receive much less concentrates. For dairy, the United States averages 41 pounds of concentrate fed per 100 pounds of milk produced. For the United Kingdom, the average is 21 pounds. Herd size and the number of farms is more skewed in the United States with average concentrates fed per cow varying as much as 3 tons across some States.

Feed formulation in both countries are driven by least cost considerations subject to nutrient requirements. In terms of usage, Figure 36 shows that animal proteins as a percent of major protein substitutes have been 6-7 percent higher in the United Kingdom. It appears that palatability considerations have tempered additional usage of meat and bone meal in the United Kingdom. In the United States, the price for meat and bone meal tracks closely with soybean meal with the latter about $50-60 per ton less. In the United Kingdom, the price of meat and bone meal over the past 3 years has declined. The current price of $210 per ton is now less than the United States price of $220. An important difference in the two countries' feeding practices has been the inclusion (prior to the animal protein ruminant feed ban) of meat and bone meal in calf starter and other calf feeds in the United Kingdom. Calves were typically fed 55-65 pounds of calf starter potentially containing up to 4 percent meat and bone meal and/or blood meal. This amounted to roughly 2.3 pounds of meat and bone meal over a 12 week period. The feeding of meat and bone meal in calf starter in the United States is not _believed_ to occur.

A worst case scenario denoting the highest potential risk would be to add all meat and bone meal produced from mature sheep offal to dairy concentrate feeds. The ratio of dairy concentrate fed to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced forms a measure of relative risk between the two countries. The higher the ratio the greater the dilution of total feed to sheep meat and bone meal produced and the less the risk. For the United States, the ratio is 34,760:1 or over 17 tons of dairy concentrate are fed to each 1 pound of sheep meat and bone meal produced. For the United Kingdom the ratio is 778:1, a difference of 45.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 19 __________________________________________________________________________

Feed Industry

Feed Consumed by U.S. Livestock & Poultry (1974 - 1987) (Corn Feed Value Equivalent)

Concentrates ~ Harvested roughage ~ Pasture

Million Tons

Figure 30 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Source: USDA:ERS *Preliminary

USDA:APHIS:VS

Feed Concentrates Fed to U.S. Livestock & Poultry (1974 - 1988)

Feed Grains ~ Food Grains ~ Byproducts-

Figure 31 Million Tons [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

*Oilseed meals, animal protein feeds, milr byproducts, and mineral supplements USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:ERS

U.S. Feed Ingredient Mix In Primary Manufacturing- 1984 Total: 95,112,294 Tons

Figure 32 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Feed Grains 49% Animal Proteins 6% Microingredients 1% Other 6% Grain Byproducts 13% Minerals 5% Oilseed Meal 20%

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:ERS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 20

__________________________________________________________________________

Feed Industry

U.S. Animal Protein Mix In Primary Manufacturing- 1984 Total: 5,413,098 Tons

Figure 33 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Meat/Bone Meal 55% Meal & Tankage 9% Feather Meal 5% Dry Milk Prod. 3% Poultry Byprod. 13%

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:ERS

Feed Concentrates Fed to U.S. Livestock & Poultry - 1988

Figure 34 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 21

__________________________________________________________________________

Feed Industry

U.K. Production of Feed Concentrates and Animal Inventories - 1988

Figure 35

Concentrates Animal Inventories (thousand tons) (thousand head)

All Cattle-All Feed 4,038.8 11,872

Dairy Cows-Dairy Feed 2,706.0 2,911

All Sheep-All feed 413.8 40,942

USDA=APHIS:VS Source: MAFF, United Kingdom

Animal Proteins as a Oilseed Cake & Meal* Percent of Major Feed Components

Figure 36 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 22

__________________________________________________________________________

Qualitative Assessment

Considering the comparative factors presented, with the exception of some similarities in rendering practices, epidemiologic factors believed conducive to the introduction of BSE in the United Kingdom are significantly different in the United States. This is supported by the following points:

Similar changes in the rendering practices have occurred in both countries. Continuous rendering accounts for the vast majority of all product produced. From 1977 to 1982, the portion of United Kingdom product rendered using hydrocarbon solvents dropped from 70 per-cent to 10 percent. Within the United States the decline was at least 5 years earlier with very little if any solvent in current use.

With respect to sourcing of sheep offal, two important differences remain. First, the "knacker" industry in the United Kingdom benefits from a smaller geographic land base and higher density of all animals. In the United States, 80 percent of the sheep are located in the 17 western States, much of which is sparsely populated with limited agricultural alternatives. Across these large rangeland operations, coyotes provide some of the same fallen stock removal services as knackers. Second, the United States rendering industry does not move the amount of raw material between plants as is reported in the United Kingdom.

Compared to the United States, the United Kingdom has 4 times as many sheep and 3 times as many mature sheep on a land mass slightly smaller than the State of Oregon. While scrapie continues in the United States, the number of sheep and farms has trended down. In the United Kingdom, little has been done to control scrapie which has been endemic for several hundred years. Several factors have allowed for an increase in the number of scrapie flocks in the last 10 years. This includes an increase of roughly 1.2 million head per year over the last decade, substantial movement of sheep from the highlands to lowlands and the fluid market for the purchase and sale of animals across the country. Note that in the United Kingdom, 55 percent of the sheep are on 47 percent of the farms. This compares with 51 per-cent of the sheep on 2 percent of the farms in the United States.

In the United Kingdom, sheep make up 28 percent of ruminant meat production versus 1.5 percent in the United States. Mature sheep account for about 10 percent of sheep slaughter in the United Kingdom versus about 6 percent in the United States. Sheep in the United Kingdom account for about 14 percent of all rendered product versus 0.6 percent in the United States. If rendered mature sheep product went directly to dairy cows, it would amount to 3.4 pounds per head in the United Kingdom versus 2.8 ounces per head in the United States.

Even though the United States cattle industry is over 8 times greater, the ratio of all sheep to all cattle is 32 times greater in the United Kingdom. Likewise the ratio of all sheep greater than 1 year to all milk cows is 10 times larger in the United Kingdom. The proximity of the two species in the United Kingdom has changed as incentives and milk quotas have led to an increased number of sheep coming in contact with dairy animals. A factor of consideration is the proportion of rendered sheep material available in proximity to the dairy population. Seventy-two percent of England and Wales' sheep operations contain 81 percent of the sheep and 50 percent of the beef and dairy. In the United States, 58 percent of the sheep operations contain 59 percent of the sheep but only 4.5 percent of the cattle.

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 23

__________________________________________________________________________

Qualitative Assessment

About 98 percent of the BSE cases have been in dairy herds. Herd size distribution is more skewed in the United States with 24 percent of the cows on 2 percent of the herds of 200 plus head. This size class has the highest case rate computed as 329 affected herds per 10,000 herds and is consistent with higher concentrate usage associated with larger herd size. Per 100 pounds of milk produced the United States feeds 41 pounds of concentrate versus 21 pounds in the United Kingdom. How-ever, to measure potential risk from sheep meat and bone meal, the ratio of dairy concentrate fed to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced must be considered, where the larger the ratio the greater the dilution and the less the potential risk. For the United States, the ratio is 34,760:1 or over 17 tons of dairy concentrate fed to each pound of sheep meat and bone meal produced. For the United Kingdom the ratio is 778:1.

Because of the purported long incubation period of the BSE agent, the average age of dairy cows becomes critical. In the United States, the average age is 3.8 years or 53 percent of all dairy cows are less than 4 years of age. In the United Kingdom, the average age is 5.1 years with 70 percent of dairy cows greater than 4 years. Note that 89 percent of the reported BSE cases are cows 4 years of age or older.

The usage and composition of concentrates varies greatly across the two countries. The United States feeds far more concentrates and has an abundance of plant based proteins such as soybean meal and cotton-seed meal. The United Kingdom has traditionally exported up to 5 percent of meat and bone meal produced and imported 500-600,000 tons of soybeans. Moreover, the portion of animal proteins used as a percent of all other major feed proteins has been 6-7 percent less in the United States than United Kingdom. Also critical has been the in-clusion of meat and bone meal as a protein source in United Kingdom calf starter feeds. Comparable feeds in the United States are believed to contain plant based proteins.

While this qualitative analysis suggests that the potential risk of BSE at the aggregate level is substantially less in the United States than the United Kingdom, recognition of potential variation in the levels of risk factors across geographic areas does not occur. Of further consideration are factors such as the concentration of mature sheep slaughter, rendered products produced, and the proximity of rendered products from mature sheep offal to dairy populations. Also, comparative usage of specific technologies in the rendering industry and verification of the usage of animal proteins in calf starter feeds. A more indepth quantitative analysis of these and other factors are contained in the APHIS-VS Ouantitative Risk Assessment of BSE in the United States...

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 25

__________________________________________________________________________

List of Figures

U.S. Sheep Inventory 1974-1990 4 Number of Sheep and Lambs by State - 1990 4 U.S. Sheep - County Pop. Distribution - 1987 5 U.K. Sheep Inventory 1978-1989 5 U.K. & U.S. Comparison of Sheep Numbers and Farms by Herd Size - Cumulative Incidence of Scrapie in Sheep 1980-1990 6 U.S. Breed Distribution of Sheep Scrapie Reported (1947-1990) 6 Effect of Indemnity on U.S. Scrapie Reporting 7 Sheep & Lamb Inventories - 1989 7 Total U.S. Cattle Inventory 1974-1990 9 U.K. Beef & Dairy Cattle Inventory 1978-1989 9 Cattle & Calf Inventories 10

Number of U.S. Milk Cows and Average per Cow Milk Production 1965-1989) ......................................10 Total U.S. Milk Production 1965-1989........10 Dairy Cow Inventories, Average Milk Production and Concentrate Fed.11 Comparison of Herds, Cows and U.K. BSE Cases by Herd Size - 1988...11 Sheep and Cattle Operations...11 U.K. Distribution of BSE Confirmed & Suspect Cases by Breed & Functional type...12 Age Distribution of Dairy Cows U.K. Occurrence of BSE - 1989...12 Animal Populations...12 U.S. & U.K. Sheep & Cattle Slaughter - 1989...13 Number and Age of Sheep Slaughter - 1989...14 1989 Geographic Distribution of Plants Accounting for 80 Percent of Sheep & Lamb Slaughter...14 Figure 24 - Change in U.K. Rendering Processes 1964-1988...16 Figure 25 - U.S. & U.K. Rendering Industry Structure...16 Figure 26 - Animal Protein Rendered Production - 1989...17 Figure 27 - U.S. Rendered Animal Protein Estimated Species Composition - 1989...17 Figure 28 - U.K. Rendered Animal Protein Estimated Species Composition - 1989...18 Figure 29 - Distribution Estimate of Animal Rendered Proteins (percent) - 1989...18 Figure 30 - Feed Consumed by U.S. Livestock & Poultry (1974 - 1987)... 20 Figure 31 - Feed Concentrates Fed to U.S. Livestock & Poultry (1974-1988)...20 Figure 32 - U.S. Feed Ingredient Mix in Primary Manufacturing - 1984... 20 Figure 33 - U.S. Animal Protein Mix in Primary Manufacturing - 1984... 21 Figure 34 - Feed Concentrates Fed to U.S. Livestock & Poultry - 1988... 21 Figure 35 - U.K. Production of Feed Concentrates and Animal Inventories - 1988...22 Figure 36 - Animal Proteins as a Percent of Major Oilseed Cake & Meal Feed Components...22

Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors - 25

==========

From: Terry S. Singeltary Sr. 

Subject: Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE in the United States 

Date: February 13, 2000 at 3:43 pm PST

Contents

Executive Summary.....1 Introduction.....2 Systems Model of BSE Epidemiology.....3 Scrapie/BSE Contamination of Rendered Product.....5 Infectious Rendered Product Incorporated into Cattle Feeds.....7 General Parameters and Assumptions of the Systems Model.....7 State-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment.....8 County-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment.....10 Conclusions.....14 List of Figures.....15

_________________________________________________________

Executive Summary

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) is a major new cattle disease problem. The current hypothesis suggests that BSE is the clinical manifestation of the sheep scrapie agent in cattle. While the disease has not been definitively diagnosed in the United States, sheep scrapie does exist along with the feeding of rendered sheep products to cattle.

A qualitative analysis comparing risk factors of the United States and United Kinkdom provided little evidence to support a broad risk of BSE at the national level. However, the focus was on the aggregate level and did not address regional differences in the livestock production and related slaughter, rendering, and feed industry practices.

This quantitative risk assessment was developed around a systems model of BSE. The model incorporated regional differences in sheep and cattle demographics, scrapie disease status, rendering, and feed industry practices. To identify levels of risk, a worst case scenario was defined by assuming that all meat and bone meal produced from mature sheep offal is mixed in dairy concentrate feeds. Relative risk was measured as the ratio of dairy concentrate fed to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced. The higher the ratio, the lower the potential risk. At the national level this ratio was 34,760 or over 17 tons of concentrate fed to dairy cattle for each 1 pound of sheep meat and bone meal produced. At the State-level the ratios varied from 1,252 to 54 million. At the county-level, the range was from 22 to over 10 million.

The inclusion of meat and bone meal into least-cost feed formulation is dependent on price and palatability. Seven of the top 10 States with the lowest ratio of dairy concentrate fed to sheep meat and bone meal produced (highest risk) can produce more meat and bone than is actually used in feed. Such net surplus States may likely have lower prices and higher rates of inclusion when compared to States which must import. Overall, States with relatively few dairy cows but substantial mature sheep rendered, may be at higher risk than States with large dairy populations.

To address regional differences, rendering trade areas were defined as the county and contiguous counties in which each rendering plant was located. The assumption was that mature sheep meat and bone meal rendered was fed to dairy in each defined area. This approach captured 50 percent of all United States dairy cows but biased upward the potential level of risk. Areas where the ratio of dairy concentrate fed to sheep meat and bone meal produced was less than 100 were considered at highest risk. Only 0.06 percent of all dairy cows were in counties with ratios below 100 and 0.8 percent were in counties with ratios below 1,000. On a regional basis, the largest number of cows in the high risk areas were located in the Upper Midwest.

To incorporate scrapie in the risk assessment, six risk categories were identified based on the reported presence of scrapie by county and the number of dairy cows with Iow ratios of dairy concentrate fed to sheep meat and bone meal produced. Six States had at least one county with documented scrapie along with dairy cows located in a rendering area with a ratio less than 1,000.

Despite wide geographic variation in concentrates fed and sheep meat and bone meal produced, little evidence existed to support a broad risk of BSE among a large portion of the dairy population. This was evidenced by the relative small amount of mature sheep meat and bone meal produced. In interpreting these results, consideration should be given to the simplifying assumptions surrounding the rendering trade areas and feed formulation. Also, this analysis assumes that infected sheep were the sole source of the BSE agent.

1 Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors in the United States, USDA:APHIS:VS, January, 1991.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 1 ________________________________________________________

Introduction

Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) represents a major new cattle disease problem. The disease has been diagnosed in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Oman, and Switzerland. The current leading etiologic hypothesis suggests that BSE is a cattle variant of the sheep scrapie agent. Exposure of cattle to scrapie originated through the feeding of infectious rendered product from scrapie-infected sheep. Although the disease has not been definitively diagnosed in the United States, sheep scrapie exists as does the feeding of rendered sheep products to cattle.

A comparison of the BSE risk factors between the United States and the United Kingdom facilitated a qualitative analysis of the risk of BSE within the United States 1. Similarities exist in rendering processes in the two countries, however, major differences are evident in the sheep and cattle demographics, relative slaughter of sheep and cattle, rendering industry, feeding practices, and composition of feed concentrates. The qualitative analysis of these risk factors suggests little evidence for a broad risk for BSE within the United States as a nation. Nevertheless, regional and temporal differences in the livestock, slaughter, rendering, and feed industries suggest that the risk is not homogeneous throughout the United States.

This quantitative risk assessment develops a systems model of the epidemiology of BSE. Regional differences in the current United States sheep and cattle demographics, scrapie disease status, rendering practices, and feed industry are incorporated into the model in order to identify specific regions of the country in which BSE has the highest risk of occurrence.

1 Qualitative Analysis of BSE Risk Factors in the United States. USDA:APHIS:VS, January, 1991.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 2 ________________________________________________________

Systems Model of BSE Epidemiology

The leading hypothesis for the transmission of BSE can be diagrammed with a systems model (Figure 1). Cattle are exposed to the scrapie/BSE agent orally through contaminated animal protein feedstuffs. The feedstuffs become contaminated with infectious material by importation of contaminated protein concentrates from BSE affected countries or by incorporation of domestically- produced contaminated protein concentrates. Contamination of the rendered products occurs when scrapie-infected sheep or BSE-infected cattle or the offal from infected animals are processed by the rendering industry. The agent survives the rendering process to enter the animal protein concentrates.

The systems model for the United States can be simplified after careful evaluation. Only a small amount of animal protein products enter the United States from known scrapie or BSE affected countries, therefore, this contribution appears to be negligible. Importation of live animals from BSE affected countries has been very limited. Further importation has been cancelled and traceback of animals imported over the past 10 years has not identified any clinically affected animals. Consequently, this potential contribution to the systems model appears to be negligible.

The major contributors to the BSE systems model in the United States appear to be domestic scrapie-infected sheep (Figure 2). Infected sheep enter the animal feed chain through the rendering industry, either as offal generated through commercial slaughter or directly through the rendering of dead, dying, or diseased individuals. Rendered sheep products are incorporated into animal protein concentrates and enter cattle feeds as a protein source. Cattle ingest the infectious rendered product. Although the infectious dose is unknown and the oral route is not very efficient, this appears to be the route of infection. If cattle are being infected, then the agent may be recirculated through the rendering of cattle. Subclinically infected cattle generate offal at slaughter and clinically affected animals proceed directly to rendering. The critical control points in the systems analysis for the United States are:

1)the provision of scrapie infected sheep and BSE infected cattle to the rendering indnstry;

2)the survival of the agent through the rendering process; and

3)the incorporation of infectious material into animal protein products such as meat and bone meal.

The infectivity of the final animal feed depends on both the concentration of the scrapie/BSE agent in the rendered product and the relative amount of infectious rendering animal protein in the feed. The survival of the scrapie/BSE agent in the rendering process is an accepted factor in the quantitative risk assessment. Therefore, regional and temporal influences at the other two critical control points, scrapie/BSE contamination of rendered product and infectious rendered product incorporation into cattle feeds, form the basis for the quantitative risk assessment.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 3 __________________________________________________________

Systems Model of BSE Epidemiology

Figure I [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Systems Model of Hypothesized BSE Epidemiology and Surveillance NAHMS 7/25/90

Figure 2 [[[Not Available...TSS]]

Systems Model of BSE Epidemiology (U.K. Hypothesis)

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 4 _________________________________________________________

Scrapie/BSE Contamination of Rendered Product

No clinical or subclinical BSE cases have been definitively diagnosed within the United States, so that the feedback or amplification route appears to be of minimal importance relative to the direct route of scrapie infected sheep entering the rendering process.

The cumulative incidence of scrapie in sheep over the last decade provides an initial indication of the likelihood of infected sheep by region (Figure 3). The ratio of documented scrapie-infected flocks over the past 10 years compared to the current ewe population is significantly higher for the States east of the Mississippi River compared to the western States. Sixty-nine percent (69%) of the eastern States had a ratio greater than 0.24 infected scrapie flocks per 10,000 ewes compared to 27 percent of the western States. No scrapie infected sheep have been reported in 13 of the contiguous 48 States over the past 10 years.

Scrapie is a disease of mature sheep ( > 1 year of age). Review of United States scrapie program records and the Veterinary Medical Database reveal less than 7 percent of the scrapie diagnoses in ewes less than 24 months of age (Figure 4). Therefore, offal from mature sheep slaughter and pickup of dead, diseased, and downer mature animals constitute the major source of scrapie contamination of rendered product.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 5 ________________________________________________________

Scraple/BSE Contamination of Rendered Product

Cumulative Incidence of Scrapie in Sheep 1980-1990

Infected Scropie Flocks/10.000 Ewes

Figure 3 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Age Distribution of Sheep Diagnosed with Scrapie - U.S.

Figure 4

Age Number Percent (%)

< 17 Months 0 0

17 to 24 Months 48 6.9

25 to 36 Months 239 34.3

37 to 48 Months 254 36.4

49 to 60 Months 89 12.8

61 to 72 Months 43 6.2

72 Months 24 3.4


USDA:APHIS:VS Source: USDA:APHIS:VS

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 6 _________________________________________________________

Infectious Rendered Product Incorporated into Cattle Feeds

Rendered animal-derived protein products are incorporated into cattle feeds as a protein source. Concentrations of scrapie are highest in brain and lymphatic tissues and extremely low or absent in blood and muscle so that meat and bone meal appears to be the rendered product of highest risk for incorporation into cattle feeds. The rendering industry in the United States appears to be very localized, with hauling of raw materials within a 100-150 mile radius. As with other basic commodities, transportation of meat and bone meal is an important cost factor. The value of the meat and bone meal is tied to the price of feedgrain protein concentrates such as soybean meal. Incorporation of meat and bone meal into cattle concentrates depends on relative prices of other commodities as factored into least-cost ration formulations.

Although most United States cattle receive concentrates, the most intensive concentrate feeding occurs with feedlot and dairy cattle. Feedlot cattle receive concentrates during the growth and finishing periods, while dairy cattle receive the highest levels of concentrate during peak milk production. Meat and bone meal does not _appear_ to be incorporated into calf starter rations. The incubation period of BSE is postulated to be 2.5 to 8 years. Consequently, feedlot cattle which are routinely slaughtered by 14-16 months of age are highly unlikely to demonstrate clinical signs of BSE even if infected.

General Parameters and Assumptions of the Systems Model

The systems model incorporated 7 major assumptions concerning scrapie contamination of the rendering process and the incorporation of infectious materials into cattle feed:

1) only the direct route of contamination of rendered product, i.e., scrapie infected sheep, was considered;

2) only mature sheep were considered as potentially scrapie infected;

3) all offal from mature sheep slaughter was considered to be processed at the nearest renderer;

4) dead, diseased, or downer mature sheep entered renderers in the same or contiguous counties only;

5) all mature sheep meat and bone meal was considered to be infectious;

6) only dairy cattle were considered to be at risk; and

7) all of the mature sheep meat and bone meal produced is fed to dairy cattle in the same county or contiguous counties in which the product was produced.

These assumptions outline the worst case scenario given the current BSE hypothesis. The purpose of building the model with these assumptions is to identify areas of greatest risk for the occurrence of BSE within the United States.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 7 _________________________________________________________

State-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

The state-level quantitative risk assessment estimated the total dairy concentrate fed, the total mature sheep meat and bone meal produced, and computed the ratio of dairy concentrates fed to the mature sheep meat and bone meal produced. The computed ratios ranged from 1,252 to 54,554,117 for the 48 coterminous States (Figure 5). The areas with the lowest ratios represent the highest risk, for example, the lowest number of pounds of dairy concentrate fed per pound of mature sheep meat and bone meal produced.

A second component of the state-level analysis addressed product availability and usage in formula feeds. The incorporation of meat and bone meal into least-cost feed formulation is dependent on price and palatability. The larger the ratio of meat and bone meal produced compared to the meat and bone meal usage in formula feeds, the more likely that the price will be lower and the product will be used up to the level of palatability. If little meat and bone meal is available compared to the usage in formula feed, then the price will be relatively higher and the usage will be less. Figure 6 provides a comparison of the net animal protein usage for selected States. Figure 7 provides both the ratio of dairy concentrate fed to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced and the ratio of animal protein produced to that used in formula feeds. The States with low ratios of dairy concentrate fed to sheep meat and bone meal produced combined with high ratios of animal protein produced to feed usage have the highest risk of BSE occurrence according to the systems model. Consequently some States with relatively few dairy cattle but a lot of mature sheep rendering, such as Colorado, appear to be at higher risk than some States with large dairy populations such as Iowa.

Ratio of Dairy Concentrates Fed to Sheep Meat & Bone Meal Produced 1989

Figure 5 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 8 _________________________________________________________

State-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

Figure 6 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

USAD:APHIS:VS

Animal Protein Produced and Formula Feed Usage

Selected States - 1984

Figure 7

Dairy Concentrate Animal Protein Prod.

State Fed/Sheep MBM /Feed Usage

Michigan 14,639 1.2

Texas 14,439 4.0

Massachusetts 14,106

Kansas 13,032 3.1

Iowa 8,376 .7

Rhode Island 7,820

Colorado 4,620 4.4

Utah 4,058 2.6

New Mexico 1,561 1.1

New Jersey 1,252 3.3

USDA:APHIS:VS

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 9 _________________________________________________________

County-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

The county-level analysis provided more detail than the State-level analysis and adjusted for regional differences within States. Renderers' locations were identified and a rendering trade and acquisition area was defined as the county where the renderer was located plus all of the contiguous counties. All mature sheep offal from slaughter and all dead, diseased, and downer mature sheep Were estimated for each rendering area. Total mature sheep meat and bone meal produced, and dairy concentrates consumed per cow were estimated within each rendering area. The model was used to compute the ratio of dairy concentrates fed compared to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced.

The defined rendering areas contained approximately 50 percent of the total United States dairy cow population. Within individual rendering areas, the ratio of concentrate fed compared to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced varied from 22 to greater than 10 million (Figure 8). The highest risk category has the lowest ratios, eg, a ratio of 20 means only 20 pounds of dairy concentrate fed per pound of sheep meat and bone meal produced. Only 0.06 percent of the United States dairy cattle exist in counties with the highest risk (ratios below 100).

Wide variations exist in the number of dairy cattle located in high risk areas of individual States (Figure 9). On a regional basis, the largest number of cows in high risk areas are located in the Upper Midwest (Figure 10).

The next step in the risk assessment was to incorporate the cumulative reported incidence of scrapie over the last decade (1980-1990) into the systems model. The presence of documented scrapie flocks in a specific rendering area was considered to incriminate all mature sheep meat and bone meal as potentially contaminated. The ratios of reported scrapie flocks per 100 flocks and per 10,000 ewes varied widely across the States (Figure 11).

Six risk categories were identified based on the reported presence of scrapie in specific rendering areas and the number of dairy cows in areas with low ratios of dairy concentrates fed to total mature sheep meat and bone meal produced (Figure 12). Six States (Iowa, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, and Texas) had at least one county with documented scrapie in a rendering area and dairy cows with ratios less than 999 pounds of dairy concentrate fed to mature sheep meat and bone meal produced (Figure 13).

Ratio of Dairy Concentrate Fed to Sheep MBM (MBM · Meat & Bone Meal from Sheep Slaughter & Dead Sheep)

Figure 8

Concentrate Fed/ Sheep MBM Produced # of cows % of cows

I. 20-99 5,757 .06%

II. 100-999 85,194 .8%

III 1,000-9,999 621,079 6.2%

IV. 10,000-99,999 1,950,981 19.3%

V. 100,000-9,999,999 1,972,392 19.6%

VI. > or = 10,000,000 371,162 3.7%

Cows Not Considered at Risk 5,078,132 50.4%

10,084,697 100.0%

USDA:APHIS:VS

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 10 _________________________________________________________

County-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

# U.S. Cows Where the Ratio of Dairy Fed Concentrate to Sheep MBM is < 1,000 Selected States - 1988

Number of Cows (Thousands)

Figure 9 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

# of U.S. Cows by Region Where the Ratio Fed Concentrate to Sheep MBM < 1,000 Selected States - 1988

Number of Cows (Thousand)

Figure 10 [[[Not Available...TSS]]]

USDA:APHIS:VS

Qantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 11 _________________________________________________________

County-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

Cumulative Reported Incidence of Scrapie, 1980-1990 AND Ratio of Dairy Concentrate Fed to Sheep MBM* Produced Selected States

Figure 11

Incidence Per # Cows Where Ratio

State Reported Flocks 100 Flocks 10,000 Ewes 20-99 100-999 MI 44 2.37 7.09 17,567 IN 43 1.55 7.66 746 NJ 7 1.26 9.22 18 1,793 VA 7 0.35 0.71 14 CO 5 0.28 0.16 2,867 K Y 2 0.23 0.83 1,515 TX 10 0.15 0.08 4,153 2,572 KS 3 0.14 0.23 478 19 IA 9 0.11 0.32 22.083 NE 2 0.08 0.16 939 WY 1 0.07 0.02 169 MN 1 0.03 0.07 19,378

USDA:APHIS:VS -Meat and Bone Meal from Sheep > = 1 year.

BSE Risk Categories

Figure 12

Scrapie Scrapie Ratio* Ratio* Reported Reported < 999 < 9,999 Locally State

I. yes - - - yes - - - II. no yes yes - - - III. no yes no > 10% no no > 10% - - - IV. no yes no yes V. no yes - - - - - - no no no < 10% VI. no no no no

*Ratio of Dairy Concentrate Fed to Sheep Meat&Bone; Meal Prod. USDA:APHIS:VS

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 12 __________________________________________________________

County-Level Quantitative Risk Assessment

State Risk Categorie based on Scrapie Reported and the Ratio of Daily Concentrates Fed to Sheep MBM Produced**

[[[data not available, will not scan properly...TSS]]]

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 13 _________________________________________________________

Conclusions

The state and county-level quantitative risk assessments substantiate the conclusions of the qualitative comparison of risk factors between the United States and United Kingdom. Little evidence exists to support a broad risk for BSE among a large portion of the dairy population of the United States. This conclusion is supported by the fact that the proportion of animal proteins produced from mature sheep is extremely low. Substantial geographic variation exists in the ratio of dairy concentrates fed to the sheep meat and bone meal produced. Despite this variation, low ratios of dairy concentrates fed to sheep meat and bone meal produced affect very few cows.

These conclusions must be considered cautiously, since the analysis required a number of simplifying assumptions concerning the rendering industry and feed formulation and usage. Seasonal variation exists in the availability of sheep meat and bone meal as well as competing feed substitutes, therefore, feed formulations may vary considerably, compounding the problem of accurately estimated consumption of mature sheep meat and bone meal by dairy cattle. In addition, the entire risk assessment considers scrapie infected sheep as the only source of the BSE agent.

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 14 ___________________________________________________________

List of Figures

Systems Model of Hypothesized BSE Epidemiology and Surveillance 4

Systems Model of BSE Epidemiology (U.K. Hypothesis) 4

Cumulative Incidence of Scrapie in Sheep 1980-1990 6

Age Distribution of Sheep Diagnosed with Scrapie - U.S 6

Ratio of Dairy Concentrates Fed to Sheep Meat & Bone Meal Produced - 1989 8

Animal Protein Produced & Formula Feed Usage I - Selected States - 1984 9

Animal Protein Produced & Formula Feed Usage II - Selected States - 1984 9

Ratio of Dairy Concentrate Fed to Sheep MBM 10

# U.S. Cows Where the Ratio of Dairy Fed Concentrate to Sheep MBM is < 1,000 - Selected States - 1988 11

# U.S. Cows by Region Where the Ratio Fed Concentrate to Sheep MBM is < 1,000 - Selected States - 1988 11

Cumulative Reported Incidence of Scrapie, 1980-1990 AND Ratio of Dairy Concentrate Fed to Sheep MBM Produced - Selected States 12

BSE Risk Categories 12

State Risk Categories Based on Scrapie Reported and the Ratio of Dairy Concentrates Fed to Sheep MBM Produced 13

Quantitative Risk Assessment of BSE - 15 ___________________________________________________________

USDA:APHIS:VS AHI2.01/91

End…tss

https://archive.org/details/CAT11066073

https://archive.org/stream/CAT11066073/CAT11066073_djvu.txt

https://bseusa.blogspot.com/2008/08/qualitative-analysis-of-bse-risk.html

FRIDAY, MAY 19, 2023

USDA Announces Atypical L-Type Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy BSE Detection

https://bovineprp.blogspot.com/2023/05/usda-announces-atypical-l-type-bovine.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/122/announces-atypical-bovine-spongiform-encephalopa

SATURDAY, MAY 20, 2023

Tennessee State Veterinarian Alerts Cattle Owners to Disease Detection Mad Cow atypical L-Type BSE

https://bse-atypical.blogspot.com/2023/05/tennessee-state-veterinarian-alerts.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/123/tennessee-veterinarian-alerts-cattle-confirmed

2 weeks before the announcement of this recent mad cow case in the USA, i submitted this to the APHIS et al;

***> APPRX. 2 weeks before the recent mad cow case was confirmed in the USA, in Tennessee, atypical L-Type BSE, I submitted this to the APHIS et al;

Document APHIS-2023-0027-0001 BSE Singeltary Comment Submission May 2, 2023

''said 'burden' cost, will be a heavy burden to bear, if we fail with Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy BSE TSE Prion disease, that is why this information collection is so critical''...

https://www.regulations.gov/comment/APHIS-2023-0027-0002

https://downloads.regulations.gov/APHIS-2023-0027-0002/attachment_1.pdf

Specified Risk Materials DOCKET NUMBER Docket No. FSIS-2022-0027 Singeltary Submission Attachment

https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FSIS-2022-0027-0002

https://downloads.regulations.gov/FSIS-2022-0027-0002/attachment_1.pdf

Control of Chronic Wasting Disease OMB Control Number: 0579-0189APHIS-2021-0004 Singeltary Submission

https://www.regulations.gov/comment/APHIS-2021-0004-0002

https://downloads.regulations.gov/APHIS-2021-0004-0002/attachment_1.pdf

Docket No. APHIS-2018-0011 Chronic Wasting Disease Herd Certification

https://www.regulations.gov/document/APHIS-2018-0011-0003

https://downloads.regulations.gov/APHIS-2018-0011-0003/attachment_1.pdf

Docket No. FDA-2003-D-0432 (formerly 03D-0186) Use of Material from Deer and Elk in Animal Feed

PUBLIC SUBMISSION

Comment from Terry Singeltary Sr.

Posted by the Food and Drug Administration on May 17, 2016 Comment

Docket No. FDA-2003-D-0432 (formerly 03D-0186) Use of Material from Deer and Elk in Animal Feed Singeltary Submission

https://www.regulations.gov/comment/FDA-2003-D-0432-0011

https://www.regulations.gov/docket/FDA-2003-D-0432

Cwd, cattle, pigs, sheep, raccoons, oh my

Price of TSE Prion Poker goes up substantially, all you cattle ranchers and such, better pay close attention here...terry

"Cattle with the E211K polymorphism are susceptible to the CWD agent after oronasal exposure of 0.2 g of infectious material."

Transmission of the chronic wasting disease agent from elk to cattle after oronasal exposure

Justin Greenlee, Jifeng Bian, Zoe Lambert, Alexis Frese, and Eric Cassmann Virus and Prion Research Unit, National Animal Disease Center, USDA-ARS, Ames, IA, USA

Aims: The purpose of this study was to determine the susceptibility of cattle to chronic wasting disease agent from elk.

Materials and Methods: Initial studies were conducted in bovinized mice using inoculum derived from elk with various genotypes at codon 132 (MM, LM, LL). Based upon attack rates, inoculum (10% w/v brain homogenate) from an LM132 elk was selected for transmission studies in cattle. At approximately 2 weeks of age, one wild type steer (EE211) and one steer with the E211K polymorphism (EK211) were fed 1 mL of brain homogenate in a quart of milk replacer while another 1 mL was instilled intranasally. The cattle were examined daily for clinical signs for the duration of the experiment. One steer is still under observation at 71 months post-inoculation (mpi).

Results: Inoculum derived from MM132 elk resulted in similar attack rates and incubation periods in mice expressing wild type or K211 bovine PRNP, 35% at 531 days post inoculation (dpi) and 27% at 448 dpi, respectively. Inoculum from LM132 elk had a slightly higher attack rates in mice: 45% (693 dpi) in wild type cattle PRNP and 33% (468) in K211 mice. Inoculum from LL132 elk resulted in the highest attack rate in wild type bovinized mice (53% at 625 dpi), but no K211 mice were affected at >700 days. At approximately 70 mpi, the EK211 genotype steer developed clinical signs suggestive of prion disease, depression, low head carriage, hypersalivation, and ataxia, and was necropsied. Enzyme immunoassay (IDEXX) was positive in brainstem (OD=4.00, but non-detect in retropharyngeal lymph nodes and palatine tonsil. Immunoreactivity was largely limited to the brainstem, midbrain, and cervical spinal cord with a pattern that was primarily glia-associated.

Conclusions: Cattle with the E211K polymorphism are susceptible to the CWD agent after oronasal exposure of 0.2 g of infectious material.

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf




Prion Conference 2023

Transmission of the chronic wasting disease agent from elk to cattle after oronasal exposure

Conclusions: Cattle with the E211K polymorphism are susceptible to the CWD agent after oronasal exposure of 0.2 g of infectious material.

Strain characterization of chronic wasting disease in bovine-PrP transgenic mice

Conclusions: Altogether, these results exhibit the diversity of CWD strains present in the panel of CWD isolates and the ability of at least some CWD isolates to infect bovine species. Cattle being one of the most important farming species, this ability represents a potential threat to both animal and human health, and consequently deserves further study.

https://prion2023.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Meeting-book-final-version2.pdf



Volume 31, Number 1—January 2025

Detection of Prions in Wild Pigs (Sus scrofa) from Areas with Reported Chronic Wasting Disease Cases, United States

Abstract

Using a prion amplification assay, we identified prions in tissues from wild pigs (Sus scrofa) living in areas of the United States with variable chronic wasting disease (CWD) epidemiology. Our findings indicate that scavenging swine could play a role in disseminating CWD and could therefore influence its epidemiology, geographic distribution, and interspecies spread.

Conclusions

In summary, results from this study showed that wild pigs are exposed to cervid prions, although the pigs seem to display some resistance to infection via natural exposure. Future studies should address the susceptibility of this invasive animal species to the multiple prion strains circulating in the environment. Nonetheless, identification of CWD prions in wild pig tissues indicated the potential for pigs to move prions across the landscape, which may, in turn, influence the epidemiology and geographic spread of CWD.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/31/1/24-0401_article

Experimental transmission of the chronic wasting disease agent to swine after oral or intracranial inoculation

Running Title: The chronic wasting disease agent transmits to swine

Discussion

snip...

In the case of feral pigs, exposure to the agent of CWD through scavenging of CWD-affected cervid carcasses or through consumption of prion contaminated plants or soil could allow feral pigs to serve as reservoirs of CWD infectivity. The range and numbers of feral pigs is predicted to continue to increase due to the ability of pigs to adapt to many climates, reproduce year-round, and survive on a varied diet (55 ). The range of CWD-affected cervids also continues to spread, increasing the likelihood of overlap of ranges of feral pigs and CWD -affected environments.

We demonstrate here that PrPSc accumulates in lymphoid tissues from pigs inoculated intracranially or orally with the CWD agent, and can be detected as early as 6 months after inoculation. Clinical disease suggestive of prion disease developed only in a single pig after a long (64 months) incubation period. This raises the possibility that CWD-infected pigs could shed prions into their environment long before they develop clinical disease. However, the low amounts of PrPSc detected in the study pigs combined with the low attack rates in Tg002 mice suggest that there is a relatively strong species barrier to CWD prions in pigs.

https://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/jvi.00926-17

Currently, swine rations in the U.S. could contain animal derived components including materials from deer or elk. In addition, feral swine could be exposed to infected carcasses in areas where CWD is present in wildlife populations. The current feed ban in the U.S. is based exclusively on keeping tissues from TSE infected cattle from entering animal feeds. These results indicating the susceptibility of pigs to CWD, coupled with the limitations of the current feed ban, indicates that a revision of the feed ban may be necessary to protect swine production and potentially human health.

The successful transmission of pig-passaged CWD to Tg40 mice reported here suggests that passage of the CWD agent through pigs results in a change of the transmission characteristics which reduces the transmission barrier of Tg40 mice to the CWD agent. If this biological behavior is recapitulated in the original host species, passage of the CWD agent through pigs could potentially lead to increased pathogenicity of the CWD agent in humans. Interestingly, bioassay of material from the longest surviving >6 month orally challenged pig (72 mpc), which was negative for PrPcwd by all other tests, produced a positive bioassay result. Bioassay of material from additional animals is currently underway. This study demonstrates that pigs can serve as potential hosts for CWD, although with low attack rates and scant PrPcwd accumulation. Detection of infectivity in orally challenged pigs using mouse bioassay raises the possibility that naturally exposed pigs act as a reservoir of CWD infectivity, even though affected pigs do not develop overt clinical signs or readily detectable PrPcwd.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=326166

cwd scrapie pigs oral routes

***> However, at 51 months of incubation or greater, 5 animals were positive by one or more diagnostic methods. Furthermore, positive bioassay results were obtained from all inoculated groups (oral and intracranial; market weight and end of study) suggesting that swine are potential hosts for the agent of scrapie. <***

*** Although the current U.S. feed ban is based on keeping tissues from TSE infected cattle from contaminating animal feed, swine rations in the U.S. could contain animal derived components including materials from scrapie infected sheep and goats. These results indicating the susceptibility of pigs to sheep scrapie, coupled with the limitations of the current feed ban, indicates that a revision of the feed ban may be necessary to protect swine production and potentially human health. <***

***> Results: PrPSc was not detected by EIA and IHC in any RPLNs. All tonsils and MLNs were negative by IHC, though the MLN from one pig in the oral <6 month group was positive by EIA. PrPSc was detected by QuIC in at least one of the lymphoid tissues examined in 5/6 pigs in the intracranial <6 months group, 6/7 intracranial >6 months group, 5/6 pigs in the oral <6 months group, and 4/6 oral >6 months group. Overall, the MLN was positive in 14/19 (74%) of samples examined, the RPLN in 8/18 (44%), and the tonsil in 10/25 (40%).

***> Conclusions: This study demonstrates that PrPSc accumulates in lymphoid tissues from pigs challenged intracranially or orally with the CWD agent, and can be detected as early as 4 months after challenge. CWD-infected pigs rarely develop clinical disease and if they do, they do so after a long incubation period. This raises the possibility that CWD-infected pigs could shed prions into their environment long before they develop clinical disease. Furthermore, lymphoid tissues from CWD-infected pigs could present a potential source of CWD infectivity in the animal and human food chains.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=353091

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/project/?accnNo=432011&fy=2017

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=337105

Conclusions: This study demonstrates that PrPSc accumulates in lymphoid tissues from pigs challenged intracranially or orally with the CWD agent, and can be detected as early as 4 months after challenge. CWD-infected pigs rarely develop clinical disease and if they do, they do so after a long incubation period. This raises the possibility that CWD-infected pigs could shed prions into their environment long before they develop clinical disease. Furthermore, lymphoid tissues from CWD-infected pigs could present a potential source of CWD infectivity in the animal and human food chains.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=337105

Currently, swine rations in the U.S. could contain animal derived components including materials from deer or elk. In addition, feral swine could be exposed to infected carcasses in areas where CWD is present in wildlife populations. The current feed ban in the U.S. is based exclusively on keeping tissues from TSE infected cattle from entering animal feeds. These results indicating the susceptibility of pigs to CWD, coupled with the limitations of the current feed ban, indicates that a revision of the feed ban may be necessary to protect swine production and potentially human health.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=353091

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/project/?accnNo=432011&fy=2017

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=337105

https://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publication/?seqNo115=326166

Component 6: Transmissible Spongiform Encephalopathies

Sheep scrapie agent can infect white-tailed deer after oronasal exposure.

The origin of chronic wasting disease (CWD) is not known, but it has many similarities to the sheep prion disease called scrapie. It has long been hypothesized that CWD arose through transmission of sheep scrapie to deer. ARS researchers in Ames, Iowa, conducted research to determine if scrapie derived from sheep could be transmitted to white-tailed deer. The deer inoculated with sheep scrapie developed clinical signs and the abnormal prion protein could be detected in a wide range of tissues. These results indicate that deer may be susceptible to sheep scrapie if exposed to the disease in natural or agricultural settings. In addition, several strong similarities between CWD in white-tailed deer and the experimental cases of scrapie in white-tailed deer suggests that it would be difficult to distinguish scrapie from CWD in deer or identify scrapie if a case occurs. This information should be considered by deer farmers for keeping their herds free from prion diseases.

https://www.ars.usda.gov/ARSUserFiles/np103/AnnualReports/NP103%20FY2023%20Annual%20Report_Final.pdf

Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Ad hoc Group on the evaluation of bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) risk status of Members Singeltary Review August 2025

https://woahoie.blogspot.com/2025/08/ad-hoc-group-on-evaluation-of-bovine.html

https://prpsc.proboards.com/thread/176/group-evaluation-risk-singeltary-review

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2025

The European Union summary report on surveillance for the presence of transmissible spongiform encephalopathies (TSE) in 2024 UK's National CJD Research & Surveillance Unit (NCJDRSU) ceased to function on March 31, 2025

https://efsaopinionbseanimalprotein.blogspot.com/2025/11/the-european-union-summary-report-on.html

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 21, 2025

While no one was watching: Tenuous status of CDC prion unit, risk of CWD to people worry scientists

https://chronic-wasting-disease.blogspot.com/2025/11/while-no-one-was-watching-tenuous.html

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 15, 2025

US NATIONAL PRION DISEASE PATHOLOGY SURVEILLANCE CENTER CJD TSE REPORT 2025

https://prionunitusaupdate.blogspot.com/2025/10/us-national-prion-disease-pathology.html

Terry S. Singeltary Sr.